PDF Summary:The Sixth Extinction, by Elizabeth Kolbert
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In The Sixth Extinction, journalist Elizabeth Kolbert argues that by drastically changing the shape of the earth and the composition of the atmosphere, humans have set in motion a sixth mass extinction that may one day be our undoing. The book revisits five previous mass extinction events spanning five hundred million years and compares them to the rapid, widespread extinctions underway today of a range of species including frogs, corals, birds, and rhinos.
These extinctions are a consequence of human-created global warming and ocean acidification, the destruction and fragmentation of forests, and our spread of invasive species around the world. What’s more, these actions will determine the course of life on the planet long after our species is gone.
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By burning fossil fuels, we’ve added 365 billion metric tons of carbon to the atmosphere. By cutting down forests, we’ve contributed another 180 billion tons and each year we add
9 billion tons more.
The concentration of carbon dioxide in the atmosphere—over four hundred parts per million—is higher than it’s been in more than a million years. At our current emissions rate, it will exceed five hundred parts per million by 2050, boosting temperatures, which will melt what remains of the glaciers and the Arctic ice cap and flood islands and coastal cities, such as New York and Washington, D.C.
Plant and animal species adjust to both short- (seasonal) and long-term temperature changes by migrating. During the multiple warming-cooling cycles of the ice ages, there were mass migrations—even insects moved thousands of miles. Scientists project that the temperature change in the next century will be comparable in magnitude to the temperature fluctuations of the ice ages.
Many species are already responding to climate change by adjusting their ranges. For instance, some tree species in Manu National Park in the Andes are “moving” to higher elevations as temperatures warm by dispersing their seeds up the mountain. The average genus (a group of closely related species) is moving eight feet higher per year. One species is even moving a hundred feet a year.
Habitat Destruction
Species need to migrate for survival. However, our transformation of the earth by fragmenting forests (dividing them by highways, cities, mining operations, cropland, and other human development) makes it difficult, if not impossible.
In addition, by cutting down forests entirely, we’ve reduced the amount of available habitat, which reduces species diversity by hindering their ability to reproduce and making the smaller populations more vulnerable to extinction.
Big animals like elephants, bears, and rhinos are threatened by both habitat loss and poaching. For example, humans have killed so many rhinos and destroyed so much of their habitat that all five species of rhinos are at risk.
Other large mammals that are also in trouble:
- Six of eight species of bears are listed as “vulnerable” to extinction or “endangered.”
- Asian elephants have declined by half; African elephants are under pressure from poachers.
- Most large cats are decreasing.
- In a hundred years, pandas, rhinos, and tigers may exist only in zoos or in reserves so small and closely guarded that they constitute zoos.
Ocean Acidification
Oceans absorb a lot of the carbon we’re pumping into the air—two-and-a-half-billion tons a year when this book was written in 2014—which is changing ocean chemistry.
In the past, there was a fairly even exchange of gases: the ocean absorbed gases from the atmosphere and also released dissolved gases back into the atmosphere. At this point, however, more CO2 is entering the oceans than they can release, resulting in acidification. (Carbon dioxide dissolves in water and forms carbonic acid.)
As a result, the pH of the oceans’ surface water has decreased, making them 30% more acidic than they were in 1800. The pH is on track to fall to 7.8 (from today’s average of 8.1) by the end of this century, making the oceans 150 percent more acidic than before the industrial revolution.
In terms of destructive effects, ocean acidification has been called global warming’s “evil twin.” There are numerous reasons, which add up to a steep loss of biodiversity, including:
- Acidification affects the internal processes of marine organisms—for instance, metabolism and enzyme activity.
- It changes the composition of microbial communities and thus the availability of key nutrients like iron and nitrogen.
- It changes the amount of light passing through water.
- It stimulates toxic algae growth.
- It affects photosynthesis.
Among the biggest victims are calcifiers—animals and plants that construct shells or external skeletons. They include starfish, sea urchins, mollusks (clams and oysters), barnacles, and many coral species (the ones that build reefs). Many kinds of seaweed, some algae, and some plants also are calcifiers.
To build shells and skeletons, they combine calcium ions and carbonate ions to create calcium carbonate. But to do so, they have to change the chemistry of the seawater. Acidification makes this more difficult, in part by decreasing the number of available carbonate ions. In addition, water with too much acid dissolves or eats holes in their shells.
Invasive Species
In the past, the range of many species was limited by geographic barriers such as oceans, rivers, and mountains. Today, however, species are being dispersed widely by humans, with disastrous consequences.
In the Anthropocene, there are no barriers to species’ travel when they hitch rides with humans. As a result, in some regions, non-native (invasive) plants have exceeded native species. At any given time, an estimated ten thousand species are traveling around the world in ships’ ballast water. Our constant reshuffling of species is unraveling millions of years of geographic separation.
The way we’re moving species around the world is a type of Russian roulette—sometimes nothing much happens; other times, catastrophes result. In the worst-case scenario, the new species thrives, reproduces, and becomes established, decimating local species through predation or by spreading new diseases.
In North America, for instance, bat populations have fallen victims to the dispersal of a European fungus, for which they have no defense. The foreign fungus causes a disease called white-nose syndrome, named after the white powder found on the faces of dead and dying bats. In some areas, as many as 90% of the bats have died—the dire consequence of a seemingly innocuous fungus that was accidentally imported to the U.S.
The Future
It’s possible that through our transformation of the earth, we’ll destroy ourselves. For a species, past longevity is no guarantee of future longevity. Marine creatures called ammonites lived for hundreds of millions of years before they suddenly disappeared. Regarding human prospects:
- Anthropologist Richard Leakey suggested, “Homo sapiens might not only be the agent of the Sixth Extinction, but also risks being one of its victims.”
- Stanford University ecologist Paul Erlich described the future in even starker terms: “In pushing other species to extinction, humanity is busy sawing off the limb on which it perches.”
It’s also possible that human ingenuity will save us from human-created disaster. For instance, some scientists suggest we could restructure the atmosphere by dispersing sulfates to reflect sunlight into space. Or we could take up residence on other planets.
However, in the scheme of geologic time, saving ourselves isn’t the most important thing. It’s that our actions will set the direction of life long after we and everything we’ve created are gone and other life has inherited the earth.
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PDF Summary Introduction
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The Big Five mass extinction events of the distant past each suddenly decimated the earth’s diversity of life, the most “recent” being an asteroid that wiped out dinosaurs and other life 66 million years ago.
(Shortform note: The “Big Five” mass extinctions were:
1) The End Ordovician period, 444 million years ago, 86% of species lost. The cause was a sudden cooling of the climate (carbon dioxide levels and temperatures dropped and things froze—glaciation) plus a huge drop in sea levels and an ocean chemistry change.
2) Late Devonian, 375 million years ago, 75% of species lost.
3) End Permian, 251 million years ago, 96% of species lost. This extinction seems to have been triggered by a sudden warming of the climate.
4) End Triassic, 200 million years ago, 80% of species lost.
5) End Cretaceous, 66 million years ago, 76% of all species lost when an asteroid traveling at 45,000 miles an hour crashed into the Yucatan Peninsula.)
By a twist of fate, just as we’re learning more about how these five mass extinctions occurred, we’re also beginning to grasp that our species is causing a Sixth Extinction.
This Pulitzer Prize-winning book traces our path...
PDF Summary Chapter 1: The Sixth Extinction
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An American graduate student studying the golden frogs in western Panama went back to the U.S. to write her dissertation—and when she returned sometime later to her study area, she couldn’t find any frogs at all. She set up a new study area farther east, where she found some frogs; at first, they seemed healthy and then they, too, vanished.
By 2002, there weren’t any golden frogs left to the west of El Valle; in 2004, dead frogs were seen in the village of El Cope, close to El Valle. Something was causing the population to crash. Concerned biologists in the U.S. and Panama decided to try to save the species by capturing some and raising them indoors at a small facility named the El Valle Amphibian Conservation Center (EVACC).
In 2008, citing a precipitous drop in amphibian populations in general, an article in the Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences asked, “Are We in the Midst of the Sixth Mass Extinction?”
The paper’s authors, David Wake and Vance Vredenburg, concluded that, based on the extinction rates among amphibians, a sixth catastrophic event is underway—which they attributed to “one weedy species”: humans.
Frogs disappeared not only from populated...
PDF Summary Chapter 2: Tracing the Clues to Past Extinctions
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He continued searching for lost species and soon added others to the list:
- A skeleton found in Brazil, which he concluded was a sort of giant sloth (he named it Megatherium).
- The so-called Maastricht animal, whose remains with shark-like teeth had been found in a Dutch quarry. This was much later determined to be a marine reptile—a mosasaur.
- Remains of several species of hoofed animals plus a marsupial found in gypsum quarries north of Paris.
Cuvier believed there had to be other extinct species. His radical assertion was that numerous species had died out over a widespread area, which he said proved that another world had previously existed and some kind of catastrophe had wiped it out.
Meanwhile, Cuvier sought specimens from other naturalists around Europe. By 1800, he identified 23 species he believed to be extinct, including a pygmy hippo, an elk with massive antlers, a giant bear, and a giant amphibian. All were similar to present-day animals, but something different was found in Bavaria, which lent momentum to the idea of a lost world—a strange flying reptile, which Cuvier called a ptero-dactyle.
The excitement of finding lost-world species...
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Learn more about our summaries →PDF Summary Chapter 3: The Great Auk—an Observable Extinction
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Auks probably once numbered in the millions. When the first settlers arrived in Iceland from Scandinavia, they regularly killed auks for food. In addition, auks were used as fish bait, burned as fuel, and plucked for mattresses. On islands where they gathered, they were herded into stone pens or onto ships to be killed. By the late 1700s, as a result of mass slaughter, the great auk population was in steep decline. While environmental causes like a volcano on one of the breeding islands contributed to the decline, egg collectors delivered the final blow. The last known pair of auks, incubating an egg, was killed so the egg could be taken for collectors on the island of Eldey, off Iceland, in 1844.
Darwin had to have known of the great auk’s extinction—a colleague, Alfred Newton, was the one who determined the auk was gone for good. Darwin himself also received first-hand reports of the near extinction by humans of Charles Island tortoises on his Beagle voyage. In On the Origin of Species, he also referred to human-caused extermination of animals.
Despite the evidence of sudden,...
PDF Summary Chapter 4: Evidence of an Asteroid Strike
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The Alvarezes published their asteroid strike theory in 1980 in an article in Science titled “Extraterrestrial Cause for the Cretaceous-Tertiary Extinction,” which generated excitement in the science community and the popular press. However, many paleontologists rejected the theory, which came from outside their discipline (from geology/physics), still believing in the uniformitarian theory of gradual extinction.
More Evidence Backs Asteroid Theory
As far back as the mid-1800s, scientists had noticed a large gap in fossil records of tens of millions of years between plants and animals found in rocks from the late Cretaceous period and the start of the next period, the Tertiary.
For instance, late-Cretaceous sediment contained remains of numerous species of belemnites, squid-like creatures, but there weren’t any in more recent deposits. The same was true for sea creatures called ammonites, which created spiral shells.
But uniformitarians couldn’t imagine why these would disappear suddenly—so up to 1980, when the Alavarezes published their ground-breaking paper, most scientists continued to attribute the disappearances to an incomplete fossil record. Some even argued...
PDF Summary Chapter 5: A New Science of Extinction
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Today, the paradigm for extinction combines elements of both Cuvier’s and Darwin’s beliefs: Life on earth consists of long periods of almost imperceptible change punctuated by calamity. Or, as one researcher described it, “long periods of boredom interrupted occasionally by panic.”
But science hasn’t been able to come up with a “unified” theory for mass extinctions. The asteroid strike theory doesn’t explain the other big mass extinctions. It turns out that the Big Five extinctions had various causes, and climate change was a major player in at least two.
The First Extinction: End Ordovician
Scientists believe the first extinction occurred at the End Ordovician period 444 million years ago and eliminated 86% of marine species (there were no land animals). It was precipitated by some sort of spontaneous climate change, in this case, a cooling rather than an asteroid strike.
The Ordovician followed the Cambrian period, during which new life forms grew exponentially—for example, marine animal types tripled and the first plants started to appear on land. However, catastrophic change at the end of the Ordovician occurred as a result of: 1) sudden cooling of the...
PDF Summary Chapter 6: Impacts—Ocean Acidification
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To build shells and skeletons, they combine calcium ions and carbonate ions to create calcium carbonate. But to do so, they have to change the chemistry of the seawater. Acidification makes this more difficult, in part by decreasing the number of available carbonate ions. In addition, water with too much acid dissolves or eats holes in their shells.
A Glimpse of the Future
An odd natural phenomenon occurring off the tiny Italian island of Castello Aragonese, west of Naples, provides a preview of ocean acidification’s devastating effects on marine life. For several hundred years, vents in the sea floor along the island have been spewing carbon dioxide. They’re a vestige of past underwater volcanic eruptions caused by two continental plates pressing together. Streams of gas erupt from the seafloor and dissolve in the water.
Scientists have been studying the effects along a natural pH gradient. On the Island’s eastern edge, the water is unaffected, but as you progress toward the vents, the acidity increases. The researchers divided the area into zones to count and track the species—for instance, mussels, barnacles, limpets, fish, sea urchins, and seaweeds—at different pH...
PDF Summary Chapter 7: Impacts—The End of Coral Reefs
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Coral are highly sensitive to ocean acidification. They need a certain “saturation state” or concentration of carbonate ions in seawater in order to create their exoskeletons. Acidification lowers carbonate ion concentrations.
Because reefs are always being eroded by waves and eaten by fish, they have to keep growing.
Research in Biosphere 2, a closed glass structure containing different habitats in Arizona, showed that coral grow fastest at a saturation state of five, and grow more slowly at four and three. They stop calcifying at level two. Currently, the saturation state virtually everywhere is four or less. Based on current trends, there won’t be any ocean areas above level 3.5 by 2026 and none above three by 2100.
Once a year, corals engage in mass spawning, in which the polyps release eggs and sperm together in bundles that break open after release. Ideally, eggs and sperm connect and produce larvae. However, acidification and lower saturation states reduce fertilization. They also hinder larval development and establishment to begin new colonies.
Other research has confirmed that diversity plummets as acidification increases and causes the saturation state to drop....
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PDF Summary Chapter 8: Impacts—Rainforests and Biodiversity
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Species in Manu National Park in the Andes are already responding to climate change. The reserve is a biodiversity “hot spot”—for instance, the cloud forest (a higher-elevation rainforest) is home to one in every nine bird species. Researchers have found thirty new tree species and another three hundred species they believe are new but haven’t yet classified.
They’ve divided part of the forest into 17 study areas at different elevations with different temperatures. Their research has shown that some tree species are “moving” to higher elevations as temperatures warm, by dispersing their seeds up the mountain. Researchers calculated that global warming is pushing the average genus (a group of closely related species) eight feet higher per year. However, they found that one species is moving a hundred feet a year.
Extreme Temperature Swings
Plants and animals everywhere adjust to brief or cyclical temperature changes—for instance, day and night, wet and dry periods, and seasonal changes. They have physiological responses such as panting and growing or shedding fur. They may also migrate or hibernate.
However, over vast amounts of time—a million or more years—species have...
PDF Summary Chapter 9: Impacts—Fragmentation of Habitat
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Birds are an example. Reserve 1202 has at least thirteen hundred bird species. At first, birds from the surrounding deforested areas took shelter in the fragment, increasing the number of species. But gradually, the number of bird species declined. Some species, for instance, wouldn’t cross roads or cleared areas to get to the reserve. Ultimately, in all of the fragments, birds and other species experienced steady declines. Overall biodiversity dropped.
Similarly, ocean islands typically have less biodiversity. To start with, some species probably don’t have enough room—for instance, a large cat that needs an average of forty square miles can’t thrive when confined to a twenty-square-mile area. But the problem isn’t just the amount of habitat. Species don’t level off—they keep declining.
Smaller populations are more prone to local extinction because they have a harder time recovering from chance disasters. For instance, the last breeding pair of a certain bird species might see its nest destroyed by a storm one year and raided by predators the next. The following year, the chicks might die of disease or turn out to be all males. So, the species eventually dies out. Depending...
PDF Summary Chapter 10: Impacts—Dispersal of Species
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In the no-harm-done scenario, the new species doesn’t survive because the climate is inhospitable, it can’t find food, or it gets eaten by predators. This probably is what happens most of the time. But in the worst-case scenario, the new species thrives, reproduces, and becomes established. Some might stick around the place where they landed; others might spread wildly.
Japanese beetles are an example of the worst-case scenario. In 1916, they were found in a nursery in New Jersey and, by the following year, had spread over three square miles. They covered seven square miles the next year and forty-eight the year after that. Today they’ve spread south to Alabama and west to Montana.
By one estimate, between five and fifteen invasive species out of every one hundred will become established. Of those, one will be the bullet in the game of Russian roulette, causing havoc.
Invasives that spread wildly often do so because they lack competitors and predators in the new environment. An example is purple loosestrife, a flowering plant that arrived in the northeastern U.S. from Europe in the early nineteenth century.
In its native habitat, many species of beetles and weevils...
PDF Summary Chapter 11: Last of the Megafauna
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Big Animals in Trouble Today
Human pressure plus slow reproduction are also why big animals like elephants, bears, and rhinos are in trouble today. Take rhinos, for example. Humans have killed so many rhinos and destroyed so much of their habitat that, ironically, only extraordinary human efforts can save them.
The double-horned Sumatran rhino is the smallest and oldest of the five species of rhino that still exist. It once ranged from the foothills of the Himalayas through Myanmar, Thailand, Cambodia, and beyond. But by the early 1980s, its population had shrunk to a few hundred and was heading toward extinction due to habitat loss as southeast Asia’s forests were cut down.
In 1984, conservationists started a captive breeding program to try and save the species. They caught forty and sent seven to zoos in the U.S. Only three in the U.S. lived and the two females and a male were consolidated at the Cincinnati Zoo. There, with the help of the zoo’s Center for Conservation and Research of Endangered Wildlife, three offspring eventually were born. Along with one other rhino, they’ve been the only four captive Sumatran rhinos born in the last thirty years. Meanwhile, the...
PDF Summary Chapter 12: Pruning the Family Tree
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Neanderthals Meet Humans
Since the original discovery, Neanderthal bones have been found all over Europe, where it’s believed they lived for at least a hundred thousand years. To survive in the ice age, they probably created shelters in caves, used fire, and made clothing. Tools were found with their bones, including axes and scrapers probably used to cut meat.
Then, about thirty thousand years ago, Neanderthals disappeared. Scientists first suggested climate change or disease as theories for their disappearance. In recent decades, however, other researchers have concluded that humans killed them off, as they did the megafauna.
Around forty thousand years ago, humans showed up in Europe. Archaeological evidence suggests that whenever they arrived in a region inhabited by Neanderthals, the latter disappeared.
Researchers in Germany sequenced the entire Neanderthal genome (complete set of DNA) so they could compare the Neanderthal and human genomes’ similarities and differences. It turned out that Europeans and Asians shared DNA with Neanderthals, while Africans didn’t.
In a paper published in Science in 2010, the genome researchers theorized that modern humans who...
PDF Summary Chapter 13: Saving Species, Saving Ourselves
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In the Sixth Extinction, what does the future hold for us?
One possibility, of course, is that through our transformation of the earth, we’ll destroy ourselves. We’re still dependent on the earth’s atmospheric and geochemical composition and its biological processes. By altering these systems—pumping CO2 into the atmosphere, acidifying the oceans, cutting down forests—we’re threatening our own survival.
For a species, past longevity is no guarantee of future longevity. Ammonites lived for hundreds of millions of years before they disappeared. Regarding human prospects:
- Anthropologist Richard Leakey suggested, “Homo sapiens might not only be the agent of the sixth extinction, but also risks being one of its victims.”
- Stanford University ecologist Paul Erlich described the future in even starker terms: “In pushing other species to extinction, humanity is busy sawing off the limb on which it perches.”
It’s also possible that human ingenuity will save us from our own foolishness. For instance, some scientists suggest we could restructure the atmosphere by dispersing sulfates to reflect sunlight into space. Or we could take up residence on other planets. In that...