Podcasts > The Daily > Trump vs. Harris on the Economy

Trump vs. Harris on the Economy

By The New York Times

The Daily examines the economic policies and philosophies of Donald Trump and Kamala Harris, two presidential figures who share a belief in the need for government intervention to address rising consumer costs. This episode explores the key elements of each side's proposed strategies.

Trump advocates imposing tariffs on imports, particularly from China, to incentivize domestic manufacturing and lower prices. He also aims to leverage pressure on companies and the Federal Reserve to reduce costs, albeit with contested economic evidence.

Meanwhile, Harris plans to foster competition through subsidies for industry newcomers, antitrust enforcement, and federal bans on price gouging. She proposes initiatives to make essentials like housing, childcare, and child tax credits more affordable for consumers.

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Trump vs. Harris on the Economy

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Trump vs. Harris on the Economy

1-Page Summary

A Shared Belief in Government Intervention

Despite ideological differences, Kamala Harris and Donald Trump share a fundamental philosophy: the federal government should take proactive measures to lower consumer costs. Both believe the administration should address rising prices for essentials like food, energy, housing, and more.

Trump's Policy Proposals

Tariffs and Economic Strategy

According to Jim Tankersley, Trump proposes sweeping tariffs on imports, particularly from China, to incentivize domestic manufacturing and lower consumer prices. Trump also plans to pressure companies to cut prices and influence the Federal Reserve to reduce interest rates, despite skepticism over economic evidence for these tactics.

Harris' Policy Proposals

Fostering Competition and Preventing Price Gouging

Harris aims to bolster competition in concentrated industries through federal subsidies for new competitors, such as in the meatpacking sector. She advocates for stricter antitrust enforcement and proposes the first-ever federal ban on price gouging.

Support for Consumers

To address housing costs, Harris proposes tax incentives for developers and $25,000 for first-time homebuyers. She also plans to revive expanded child tax credits from 2021 and potentially offer up to $6,000 annually for newborn child expenses, along with initiatives for childcare and paid leave.

1-Page Summary

Additional Materials

Counterarguments

  • Tariffs can sometimes lead to trade wars, which might increase prices for consumers and hurt domestic industries that rely on imported materials.
  • Pressuring companies to cut prices could lead to reduced profits and potential layoffs if businesses are unable to absorb the costs.
  • Influencing the Federal Reserve to cut interest rates could lead to unintended consequences, such as inflation or asset bubbles.
  • Federal subsidies to promote competition could be seen as market manipulation and may not always lead to the desired outcomes if new entrants are not sustainable without ongoing government support.
  • Stricter antitrust enforcement could stifle innovation and discourage large companies from making investments that could ultimately benefit consumers.
  • A federal ban on price gouging, while well-intentioned, could be difficult to define and enforce, potentially leading to legal challenges and uncertainty for businesses.
  • Tax incentives for developers might not necessarily lead to more affordable housing if the underlying issues in the housing market are not addressed.
  • The proposal of $25,000 for first-time homebuyers could inflate housing prices if demand increases without a corresponding increase in supply.
  • Expanded child tax credits and other financial support for families could place a significant burden on the federal budget, leading to higher taxes or increased national debt.
  • Initiatives for childcare and paid leave, while supportive of families, could impose additional costs on businesses, potentially leading to higher prices for goods and services or reduced employment opportunities.

Actionables

  • You can analyze your spending habits to identify areas where you might be affected by price increases and seek out local alternatives or substitutes that may be cheaper. For instance, if you notice a significant rise in the cost of imported goods due to tariffs, you might prioritize purchasing locally produced items, which could be less expensive and support domestic manufacturing.
  • Consider creating a personal savings plan that aligns with potential government incentives for specific life events, like buying a home or having a child. If there's talk of tax incentives for first-time homebuyers or expanded child tax credits, start setting aside money now so you can take full advantage when such policies are implemented.
  • Engage with community groups or online forums that focus on consumer advocacy and education. By joining these groups, you can stay informed about ways to benefit from increased competition in concentrated industries and learn how to support or take advantage of new competitors entering the market, which could lead to lower prices and better services.

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Trump vs. Harris on the Economy

The candidates' shared philosophy of government intervention to lower consumer costs

Donald Trump and Kamala Harris, despite their many differences, share a fundamental belief: the federal government should play a proactive role in reducing prices for American consumers. They both think the administration should address pressing concerns such as the costs of food, energy, housing, and other essential goods and services.

Both Trump and Harris believe the federal government should use its power to reduce prices and costs for American consumers.

Both candidates align on the idea that the government should intervene in the economy to help lower the high costs burdening voters. While their specific policy ideas to lower these costs may vary greatly, the underlying philosophy that the federal gover ...

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The candidates' shared philosophy of government intervention to lower consumer costs

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Counterarguments

  • The belief in government intervention to lower consumer costs assumes that such intervention is always effective or beneficial, which may not be the case; market forces can sometimes allocate resources more efficiently without direct government price controls.
  • Government intervention in pricing can lead to unintended consequences, such as shortages, reduced quality, or less innovation, as suppliers may not have the same incentives to improve or maintain their goods and services.
  • There is a philosophical argument that government intervention in pricing undermines free-market principles and individual choice, potentially leading to a slippery slope of increased regulation and government overreach.
  • The effectiveness of government intervention in reducing costs for consumers can vary greatly depending on the implementation and the specific market conditions, suggesting that a one-size-fits-all approach may not be appropriate.
  • There may ...

Actionables

  • You can become more informed about government policies by regularly checking official websites and press releases for updates on consumer cost interventions. By doing this, you'll be aware of any new initiatives or changes in policy that could affect the prices of essential goods and services. For example, if a new subsidy for renewable energy is announced, you might be able to take advantage of lower electricity bills or rebates for installing solar panels.
  • Start a monthly budget review to identify how changes in government policy impact your expenses. Track the prices of your regular purchases like food, energy, and housing, and compare them over time to see if government actions are making a difference. This could help you adjust your spending habits or take advantage of government programs designed to reduce costs, such as energy-efficient appliance rebates or affordable housing options.
  • Engage with l ...

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Trump vs. Harris on the Economy

Trump's specific policy proposals

Trump's Tariffs and Economic Strategy

Trump proposes using tariffs and government influence to reshape the American economy, aiming to increase domestic manufacturing and reduce consumer prices.

Extensive Tariff Implementation

Trump's vision for increasing American manufacturing involves implementing sweeping tariffs on imports. He suggests levying a 10-20% tax on all goods coming into the United States, with a particular focus on imports from China. The rationale behind this aggressive tax strategy is to make imported products more expensive compared to those made in the U.S., thereby incentivizing companies to shift production stateside, which he claims would create manufacturing jobs that support families.

Pressure Tactics on Companies and Federal Reserve

In addition to tariffs, Trump suggests directly coercing companies to lower their prices. His plan extends to using his influence over the Federal Reserve to force interest rate cuts. Trump believes that his business acumen gives him superior instincts to those in charge of the Fed and wants to wield this influence to reduce borrowing costs across the board, ostensibly to lower costs for mortgages and other loans.

Skepticism from Economic Evidence

However, economic experts like Jim Tankersley point out that there is no substantial ec ...

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Trump's specific policy proposals

Additional Materials

Counterarguments

  • Tariffs can lead to trade wars, which might harm the overall economy more than they help specific sectors.
  • Increasing tariffs could lead to retaliation from other countries, affecting American exporters.
  • Tariffs might protect certain jobs in the short term but could lead to a decrease in competitiveness and innovation in the long term.
  • The use of tariffs to coerce companies to lower prices could be seen as government overreach into free market operations.
  • Influencing the Federal Reserve to cut interest rates for the purpose of lowering loan costs could undermine the Fed's independence and its ability to manage inflation.
  • There is a risk that tariffs could increase the cost of living for American consumers if companies pass on the increased costs of imported goods.
  • Tariffs could disrupt global supply chains, leading to shortages of materials and components necessary for American manufacturing.
  • The assumption that companies will shift production to the U.S. in response to tariffs may not account for ...

Actionables

  • You can educate yourself on the basics of economics to better understand the implications of tariffs and trade policies. Start by reading introductory books or taking free online courses in economics to grasp concepts like supply and demand, trade balances, and the effects of tariffs on the economy. This knowledge will help you make informed decisions as a consumer and voter when faced with policies similar to those proposed by Trump.
  • Consider buying locally-made products to support domestic manufacturing. By consciously choosing goods produced in your country, you contribute to the demand for local manufacturing, which can lead to job creation and potentially lower consumer prices in the long run due to reduced transportation costs and tariffs.
  • Engage in conversatio ...

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Trump vs. Harris on the Economy

Harris' specific policy proposals

Harris reveals comprehensive policy initiatives aimed at leveraging government power to foster competition, prevent corporate price gouging, and offer direct support to lower consumer costs.

Government Intervention to Increase Competition and Prevent Price Gouging

Harris plans to utilize the force of government to dismantle monopolistic entities and cultivate competition within the economy, with the hope of reducing consumer expenses. She aims to extend the ongoing efforts of the Biden administration by intensifying subsidies for newcomers in concentrated sectors like food production, intending to drive down prices.

Federal Subsidies and Antitrust Enforcement to Foster Competition

Harris suggests providing government funding to startup meatpacking firms to help them grow and pose a challenge to the dominant industry players, which should, in turn, increase competition and lower prices. She is also pushing for the Federal Trade Commission to enhance its scrutiny of mergers and anti-competitive behaviors in the food industry.

First-ever Federal Ban on Price Gouging

In response to crises where companies exploit situations by sharply increasing prices on necessary goods, Harris proposes implementing a federal ban on price gouging. As Tankersley points out, while state bans on price gouging exist, a federal prohibition is nonexistent, and Harris’s policy would introduce such legislation.

Addressing the High Cost of Living with Tax Credits and Subsidies

In addition to combatting corporate practices, Harris also outlines plans to help Americans cope with escalating living costs.

Housing Affordability Initiatives

Harris's economic vision includes federal financial incentives to encourage the development of around 3 million new housing units and tax breaks for developers. For individuals buying a home for the first time, Harris suggests distributing $25,000 to each qualified person to assist with down payments, ensuring that these funds are available at the time of purchase rather than as a later tax credit ...

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Harris' specific policy proposals

Additional Materials

Counterarguments

  • Government intervention in markets can sometimes lead to unintended consequences, such as market distortions or inefficiencies.
  • Dismantling monopolistic entities could potentially harm industries where economies of scale are important for efficiency and innovation.
  • Intensifying subsidies for new entrants in a market might create an unfair advantage over established companies that did not benefit from such subsidies.
  • Providing government funding to startup meatpacking firms could be seen as picking winners and losers, which may not align with free-market principles.
  • Enhancing scrutiny of mergers and anti-competitive behaviors could slow down business operations and discourage beneficial consolidations.
  • Implementing a federal ban on price gouging could be difficult to enforce and might lead to shortages of essential goods during crises.
  • Federal financial incentives for housing development could lead to overbuilding or misallocation of resources if not carefully targeted.
  • The distribution of $25,000 for down payments could inflate housing prices if the supply of housing does not keep up with the increased demand.
  • Expanding the child tax credit might be costly and could contribute to the federal deficit if not offse ...

Actionables

  • You can research and support local businesses to foster competition in your community, which can lead to lower prices and more choices for consumers. Start by identifying small businesses in your area, especially those that offer products or services similar to larger, more dominant companies. Make a conscious effort to shop at these smaller establishments, recommend them to friends and family, and leave positive reviews online to help increase their visibility and customer base.
  • Consider joining or forming a consumer advocacy group to monitor and report potential price gouging, especially during crises. This group could keep an eye on pricing trends in the community and report any sudden, unjustified increases to the appropriate authorities. By staying informed about your rights as a consumer and the laws regarding price gouging, you can help ensure that businesses remain fair and competitive.
  • Explore financial literacy resources to better understand and take a ...

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