Podcasts > Shawn Ryan Show > #210 Hsiao Bi-khim | 蕭美琴 - Vice President of Taiwan

#210 Hsiao Bi-khim | 蕭美琴 - Vice President of Taiwan

By Shawn Ryan Show

In this episode of the Shawn Ryan Show, Taiwan's Vice President Hsiao Bi-khim discusses Taiwan's role in the global economy, particularly its dominance in semiconductor production. The conversation examines how Taiwan manufactures 60% of the world's chips and 95% of high-end semiconductors, while also serving as a crucial maritime trade route through which up to half of global trade value passes.

The discussion then turns to Taiwan's response to China's military pressure, including Taiwan's asymmetric defense strategy and efforts to strengthen national security through a "whole-of-society" approach. Bi-khim explains Taiwan's work to diversify its economic partnerships, highlighted by TSMC's major U.S. investment, while addressing the potential global economic impact of any conflict in the Taiwan Strait.

#210 Hsiao Bi-khim | 蕭美琴 - Vice President of Taiwan

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#210 Hsiao Bi-khim | 蕭美琴 - Vice President of Taiwan

1-Page Summary

Taiwan's Importance in the Global Economy and Technology

In their discussion, Shawn Ryan and Hsiao Bi-khim explore Taiwan's crucial role in global technology and trade. Taiwan produces 60% of the world's chips and an impressive 95% of high-end semiconductors. Bi-khim explains that this success stems from Taiwan's efficient ecosystem of small and medium-sized enterprises, supported by US-trained industry leaders like Dr. Morris Chang.

Beyond semiconductors, Taiwan's strategic location makes it vital for global maritime trade. According to Bi-khim, 20-50% of global trade value passes through the Taiwan Strait, highlighting the region's significance for international commerce.

China's Aggression and Taiwan's Defense Strategy

Bi-khim describes China's increasingly aggressive posture toward Taiwan, ranging from missile firings to naval incursions and cyberattacks. In response, Taiwan has adopted an asymmetric defense strategy rather than trying to match China's military assets directly.

Taiwan is implementing a "whole-of-society" defense approach, which includes protecting communications infrastructure, enhancing cybersecurity, and extending military conscription. This comprehensive strategy aims to strengthen national security and boost overall preparedness against potential threats.

Taiwan's International Partnerships and Diplomatic Relations

Taiwan is actively diversifying its economic ties away from China and toward democratic allies. Bi-khim highlights TSMC's unprecedented $165 billion investment in the United States as a significant step in this direction. Despite facing diplomatic challenges due to Chinese influence, Taiwan continues to strengthen unofficial international ties and works closely with partners on economic, public health, and enterprise development initiatives.

Impact of Taiwan-China Conflict

Shawn Ryan warns that a Chinese invasion of Taiwan would have devastating global consequences, particularly in the technology sector. Given Taiwan's dominance in semiconductor manufacturing, any disruption would cripple industries worldwide. Bi-khim emphasizes that maintaining peace in the Taiwan Strait is crucial not just for regional stability but for global economic prosperity, calling for international support to prevent conflict and protect vital supply chains.

1-Page Summary

Additional Materials

Counterarguments

  • While Taiwan is a major producer of semiconductors, it's important to recognize that the global supply chain is complex and other countries also play key roles in different stages of production and innovation.
  • The success of Taiwan's technology sector is not solely due to its ecosystem of SMEs; government policy, investment in R&D, and international partnerships have also been significant factors.
  • The strategic importance of the Taiwan Strait for global trade is clear, but it's also important to consider the potential for rerouting shipping and the resilience of global trade networks in the face of geopolitical tensions.
  • China's actions towards Taiwan can be seen as aggressive, but from a Chinese perspective, these actions may be viewed as part of its national security policy and territorial integrity.
  • Taiwan's asymmetric defense strategy is a response to the threat perception from China, but it's also important to consider the potential for diplomatic solutions and confidence-building measures to reduce tensions.
  • The "whole-of-society" defense approach in Taiwan is a significant step, but its effectiveness can only be truly assessed in the event of an actual conflict.
  • While Taiwan is diversifying its economic ties, the economic interdependence between Taiwan and China remains substantial, and a complete decoupling could have significant economic repercussions for both.
  • TSMC's investment in the United States is substantial, but it's also important to consider the challenges of replicating the highly specialized and efficient production ecosystem that exists in Taiwan.
  • Strengthening unofficial international ties is a strategy for Taiwan, but it's also important to consider the limitations and challenges of not having formal diplomatic recognition.
  • The potential global consequences of a conflict involving Taiwan are significant, but it's also important to consider the potential for overestimating the impact on certain sectors or the ability of markets to adapt over time.
  • The importance of peace in the Taiwan Strait is clear, but it's also important to consider the broader geopolitical dynamics in the Asia-Pacific region and the role of other regional actors in maintaining stability.

Actionables

  • You can support Taiwan's economy by purchasing technology products from Taiwanese brands or those with components made in Taiwan, thus contributing to the diversification of economic ties. When shopping for electronics, look for labels indicating that the product is made in Taiwan or contains Taiwanese components, such as semiconductors from TSMC. This consumer choice helps to reinforce the economic bonds between democratic allies and Taiwan.
  • Enhance your own cybersecurity awareness to mirror the "whole-of-society" defense approach, recognizing the importance of individual vigilance in the face of global cyber threats. Start by educating yourself on basic cybersecurity practices, such as using strong, unique passwords, enabling two-factor authentication, and keeping your software updated. Share this knowledge with friends and family to create a ripple effect of cyber resilience in your community.
  • Foster an understanding of global trade's impact on your daily life by tracking the origin of your purchased goods, especially electronics, to appreciate the strategic importance of regions like the Taiwan Strait. Use apps or websites that provide information about product origins and supply chains. By being aware of where and how your goods are produced, you contribute to a more informed consumer base that recognizes the significance of maintaining peace and stability in crucial trade regions.

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#210 Hsiao Bi-khim | 蕭美琴 - Vice President of Taiwan

Taiwan's Importance in the Global Economy and Technology

Taiwan's significance in the global economy and technology is undeniable, as Shawn Ryan and Hsiao Bi-khim discuss Taiwan's unparalleled contribution to semiconductor manufacturing and the critical role it plays in global maritime trade.

Taiwan: Key Producer of 60% of World Chips and 95% of High-End Semiconductors

Taiwan stands as a technological powerhouse, particularly in the semiconductor industry, with far-reaching influences on modern technology and global supply chains.

Taiwan's Efficient, Reliable Chip Manufacturing Ecosystem Leveraging US-trained Workforce

Hsiao Bi-khim elaborates on how Taiwan's sophisticated ecosystem of small and medium-sized enterprises supports the semiconductor industry, providing an array of services from design to chemical supply and machine tools. This intricately connected network is geographically consolidated within Taiwan, leading to superior logistics, coordination, and operational efficiency. Moreover, Taiwanese industry leaders, many of whom were educated and trained in the United States, have been pivotal in the development of this industry. The Vice President names Dr. Morris Chang, formerly of Texas Instruments, as a prominent figure in this technological revolution.

Taiwan's Advanced Chips Power Global Technologies in Smartphones, AI, and Military

Taiwan's role in modern technology extends far beyond its borders. Hsiao Bi-khim notes that the country is crucial for the seamless operation of daily technological applications worldwide, producing 95% of all high-end semiconductors. The advanced chips Taiwan manufactures are integral components in smartphones, artificial intelligence, the Internet, and defense technology, placing Taiwan at the core of the technological sphere.

Taiwan's Central Role in Global Maritime Trade

Taiwan's geographical position and the importance of the Taiwan Strait in maritime trade are underlined by Hsiao Bi-khim, pointing to the island's pivotal role in international commerce.

20-50% of Global Trade Value Transits Taiwan Strait

The strategic significance of the Taiwan Strait is spotlighted with statist ...

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Taiwan's Importance in the Global Economy and Technology

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Clarifications

  • Taiwan's semiconductor manufacturing ecosystem comprises a network of small and medium-sized enterprises that provide various services from design to supply chain management. This ecosystem benefits from geographical proximity, fostering efficient logistics and operational coordination. Industry leaders, like Dr. Morris Chang, who have received education and training in the United States, have played a crucial role in shaping Taiwan's semiconductor industry.
  • The Taiwan Strait is a narrow body of water that separates Taiwan from mainland China. It is a crucial maritime route for global trade, with a significant portion of the world's trade value passing through it. The strait's strategic location makes it a vital link in international commerce, connecting major economies and facilitating the movement of goods and resources. Disruptions in the Taiwan Strait could have far-reaching impacts on global trade and the economy.
  • Semiconductor production in Taiwan is crucial not only for its technological advancements but also for its impact on global trade. The efficient manufacturing of semiconductors ...

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#210 Hsiao Bi-khim | 蕭美琴 - Vice President of Taiwan

China's Aggression and Taiwan's Defense Strategy

Hsiao Bi-khim and Shawn Ryan discuss the intensifying military activities by China toward Taiwan and Taiwan’s multifaceted response to ensure its sovereignty and security.

China's Assertive Military Posturing and Coercion Toward Taiwan

Hsiao Bi-khim describes a history of Chinese aggression toward Taiwan that has intensified in recent years. From China's response to Taiwan's first presidential election in 1996 with missile firings to recent navy and air incursions into Taiwan's air defense identification zone, these are seen as gray zone threats. China exercises coercion through military presence, economic leverage, and cognitive warfare, including disinformation and efforts to divide Taiwanese society. Hsiao Bi-khim points out the multifaceted nature of China's claim over Taiwan, employing diplomatic, military, and economic tools globally to enforce this claim. Cyberattacks are part of this strategy, which along with naval patrols near Taiwan and the militarization of artificial islands in the South China Sea, signifies China's growing assertiveness in the region.

China Expands Naval Power, Outnumbers Us, Militarizes South China Sea Islands

Shawn Ryan highlights China's dominance in shipbuilding capacity, indicating a rapid growth in China's naval power and the strategic implications for Taiwan and regional security. Hsiao Bi-khim notes China’s actions are aimed at asserting military capability and denying access to other nations, which affects Taiwan directly. Taiwan's response, recognizing it cannot match China ship for ship, focuses on developing asymmetric defense capabilities, attempting to deter aggression and balance regional power dynamics.

Taiwan Focuses On Asymmetric Defense Over Asset-For-asset Parity With China

Taiwan is abandoning the concept of matching China's military asset for asset, instead adopting asymmetric warfare tactics. This approach encompasses enhancing indigenous manufacturing capabilities and being innovative in defense strategies, aiming to defend Taiwanese values effectively.

Taiwan Develops "Whole-Of-society" Defense to Boost Resilience and Preparedness

Investing In Communications, Cyber, Infrastructure, and Citizen Self-Defense Training

Hsiao Bi-khim discusses Taiwan's "whole-of-society" defense approach ...

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China's Aggression and Taiwan's Defense Strategy

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Actionables

  • You can enhance your personal cybersecurity by regularly updating passwords and learning about digital threats. Given the focus on cybersecurity in national defense, applying similar principles to your personal digital life can safeguard your information. For example, use password managers to generate and store complex passwords, and educate yourself on phishing scams to recognize and avoid them.
  • Consider taking a basic first aid or emergency response course to be prepared for any situation. Taiwan's investment in citizen self-defense training highlights the importance of individual readiness in national security. By learning first aid, CPR, or disaster response techniques, you contribute to community resilience in emergencies.
  • Explore volunteer opportunities with local civil defense ...

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#210 Hsiao Bi-khim | 蕭美琴 - Vice President of Taiwan

Taiwan's International Partnerships and Diplomatic Relations

Taiwan is actively broadening its economic and diplomatic ties by engaging with global partners, including the United States, and seeks support against Chinese aggression.

Taiwan Broadens Economic and Diplomatic Ties Beyond China

Taiwan is deliberately diversifying its economic connections away from the Chinese economy toward like-minded democracies.

Taiwan Boosts US Trade and Investment While Cutting China Ties

Hsiao Bi-khim discusses bridging the gap between Capitol Hill and Silicon Valley by working with the U.S. defense tech community. She seeks ways for Taiwan to partner with American technology sectors, focusing on indigenous capabilities within Taiwan. Hsiao Bi-khim highlights how Taiwan is enhancing its engagements with Southeast Asian countries and making considerable investments in the United States. A monumental example is TSMC's $165 billion investment in the U.S., the largest greenfield investment from a foreign country in American history. This move is seen as a significant contribution to technology resilience and the diversification of supply chains, aiming to deepen bonds with reliable partners.

Hsiao Bi-khim underscores the mutual importance of the Taiwan-U.S. economic relationship: "The Taiwan-U.S. economies are very important to each other. This partnership has enabled Taiwan to grow in strength. It has also allowed Taiwanese companies to support growth and profit in the United States. It's an ecosystem that benefits both of our societies."

Taiwan Seeks Global Support Against Chinese Aggression

Part of Taiwan's partnership with the United States involves acquiring modern systems and learning how to operate effectively in a rapidly changing environment. Despite losing allies like Honduras due to Chinese promises, Taiwan continues to work with its partners on economic partnerships, public health, and empowering small-medium-sized enterprises.

Hsiao Bi-khim asserts that all countries with a stake in global stability and the continuity of supply chains should have an interest in supporting Taiwan against Chinese aggression. The expansion of the Peop ...

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Taiwan's International Partnerships and Diplomatic Relations

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Counterarguments

  • Taiwan's efforts to diversify away from China could be economically challenging given the deep supply chain integrations and the size of the Chinese market.
  • The large investment by TSMC in the U.S. could be criticized for potentially exposing Taiwan to economic vulnerabilities should geopolitical tensions affect business operations.
  • The mutual benefits of the Taiwan-U.S. economic relationship might be questioned in terms of trade imbalances or dependency on U.S. markets.
  • Seeking global support against Chinese aggression could be seen as provocative and potentially escalating tensions in the region.
  • The acquisition of modern systems from the U.S. might be criticized as contributing to an arms race in the region.
  • Taiwan's work with partners on various fronts could be seen as an attempt to circumvent the One-China policy, which could be offensive to those who support it.
  • The call for global support against Chinese aggression mi ...

Actionables

  • You can support Taiwan's economy by purchasing products made in Taiwan, such as electronics, textiles, and teas. By choosing Taiwanese goods when shopping online or in specialty stores, you contribute to diversifying Taiwan's economic connections and support their industries.
  • Engage with Taiwanese culture through language learning apps or local cultural events to foster greater understanding and appreciation. This personal engagement can lead to a deeper interest in Taiwan's international position and the challenges it faces, thereby indirectly supporting its global diplomatic efforts.
  • Advocate for policies that promote a stable I ...

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#210 Hsiao Bi-khim | 蕭美琴 - Vice President of Taiwan

Impact of Taiwan-China Conflict

The ongoing tensions between Taiwan and China have far-reaching implications, with the potential to cause devastating impacts on the global economy and technological advancements if conflict were to arise.

Chinese Invasion of Taiwan Would Devastate Global Economy, Technology Sector

Shawn Ryan warns that a Chinese invasion of Taiwan could lead to a significant loss of technological advances, echoing concerns about the global dependency on Taiwan's semiconductor industry. Due to Taiwan's pivotal role in semiconductor production, an invasion that disrupts or takes over chip factories would not only be detrimental locally but would also cripple industries and technologies around the world.

Taiwan's Semiconductor Hub Status Means Disruptions Would Cripple Industries and Technologies

Ryan emphasizes that Taiwan's semiconductor hub status is integral to global technological infrastructure. Given the island's expertise and dominance in semiconductor manufacturing, any disruptions could severely impact a range of sectors reliant on these crucial components.

China's Control of Taiwan's Tech Would Shift Global Power Balance

Control of Taiwan's tech sector by China would shift the global balance of power significantly. Semiconductors are vital for powering everything from smartphones to advanced military systems, and China’s possession of this industry would alter the geopolitical landscape.

Preventing Taiwan-China Conflict Is Crucial for Global Stability

Deterring Aggression: Taiwan's Military, Economic, and International Strategy

Hsiao Bi-khim stresses that maintaining the status quo between Taiwan and China is critical for global stakeholders, including China. The strategy focuses on deterring aggression without provoking it and emphasizes the resilience of Taiwan's infrastructure, particularly in diversifying energy resources and reforming the energy grid. ...

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Impact of Taiwan-China Conflict

Additional Materials

Counterarguments

  • The global economy is resilient and may adapt to changes in semiconductor supply chains, potentially minimizing the long-term impact of a conflict.
  • Other countries are investing in semiconductor manufacturing, which could reduce the world's reliance on Taiwan's semiconductor industry over time.
  • China's control of Taiwan's tech sector might not necessarily lead to a significant shift in global power balance due to checks and balances from other global powers.
  • Military deterrence strategies could inadvertently escalate tensions, leading to a self-fulfilling prophecy of conflict.
  • The effectiveness of windmills as a defensive military position is unproven and may not significantly contribute to Taiwan's military strategy.
  • The international community's efforts to maintain peace may be complicated by differing national interests and the potential for economic or political concessions to China.
  • The rules-based international order is subject to int ...

Actionables

  • You can support businesses that invest in alternative semiconductor sources to reduce reliance on a single region. By choosing to buy products from companies that source their semiconductors from diverse locations, you contribute to a more stable global supply chain. For example, when purchasing electronics, look for brands that advertise their commitment to supply chain resilience.
  • You can educate yourself on the importance of a rules-based international order and advocate for it in your community. Understanding the principles of international law and the significance of peaceful conflict resolution allows you to engage in informed discussions, write to your representatives, or support organizations that promote these values.
  • You can prioritize energy divers ...

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