On this episode of the Shawn Ryan Show, the hosts cover alarming intelligence regarding Al-Qaeda's planned terrorist attacks against the U.S. and Europe. They discuss details about the thousands of trained operatives involved, potential tactics like suicide bombings and sophisticated explosives, and the unification of groups like Al-Qaeda, ISIS, and the Taliban under the "Islamic Army."
The discussion delves into how foreign entities, including Iran's Revolutionary Guard and Russia, are supporting and enabling these plots. The hosts examine concerning failures in U.S. counterterrorism efforts, including the government's alleged disregard for actionable intelligence and the deterioration of assets following the Afghanistan withdrawal.
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According to Shawn Ryan and Sarah Adams, Al-Qaeda has trained around 1,000 terrorists each for attacks in the U.S. and Europe. The U.S. attack is expected to involve suicide bombers, "Fadeian" fighters willing to die, and coordinated strikes across multiple cities, similar to the 2008 Mumbai model.
While timing and specific targets remain unclear, Al-Qaeda aims for maximum impact by potentially targeting symbolic sites, transportation, and large gatherings. Adams warns of sophisticated tactics like advanced suicide vests evading detection.
Al-Qaeda is attempting to coordinate the timing of the U.S. and European attacks, with October 7th, marking the Afghanistan War anniversary, as a potential date.
Hamza bin Laden has formed the Islamic Army, uniting groups like Hamas, Hezbollah, ISIS, and the Taliban. The Haqqani Network within the Taliban plays a key role, and around 120,000 recruits have been trained under this banner.
According to Adams, this alliance allows Al-Qaeda to leverage the resources and capabilities of diverse groups for its operations.
Hamza personally oversees the Islamic Army, appointing commanders and strategizing with ISIS affiliates like Sana'a Ulughafari on joint attacks.
Adams notes Al-Qaeda deliberately avoids claiming responsibility to maintain the Islamic Army's secrecy, instead arranging for affiliates like ISIS to claim attacks.
Adams states Iran's Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps (IRGC) has actively harbored and supported Al-Qaeda operatives, providing safe haven and resources. The IRGC's intelligence wing has facilitated attacks like the October 2022 Hamas strikes and the planned U.S. attack.
Russia has allegedly used pipelines and channels to transport supplies for Al-Qaeda's planned U.S. homeland attack, aiming to undermine and destabilize America according to Adams.
Adams criticizes the U.S. government for failing to act on actionable intelligence from private sources about Al-Qaeda plotting, ignoring embassy attack warnings and suppressing reports on Hamza bin Laden's survival.
Shawn Ryan highlights the near-total loss of U.S. intelligence assets and collection capabilities in Afghanistan following the withdrawal, now relying on the Taliban. Afghan allies have been abandoned and killed.
1-Page Summary
Shawn Ryan and Sarah Adams discuss the imminent threat posed by Al-Qaeda to the U.S. and Europe. They mention that Al-Qaeda has trained approximately 1,000 individuals for an attack on U.S. soil, targeting symbolic locations to cause mass casualties and gain significant press. An equal number of terrorists have been prepared for attacks in Europe. Abdullah bin Laden runs the terrorist camps where these homeland attackers are trained. Some terrorists use legal immigration channels to enter the U.S., including tourist visas, and they are said to include ISIS members to shift blame onto the group.
The hosts detail that the planned attacks are expected to utilize autonomous "Fadeian" attackers willing to fight to the death, reminiscent of the 2008 Mumbai attacks. The swarming attack tactics give assailants the autonomy to change their targets and methods during the operation. Similar autonomy was noted in the Mumbai attacks, where attackers switched from a bombing to shooting to maximize casualties. Adams discusses Al-Qaeda's desire for innovation, such as advanced suicide vests that could go undetected by metal detectors and bomb-sniffing dogs and warns that the U.S. might not be prepared for such sophisticated attacks.
Although the specific timing and targets are unclear, Al-Qaeda is aiming for maximum impact and economic disruption, potentially targeting the U.S. Capitol, public transportation, and large gatherings at universities, churches, and ...
Al-Qaeda's planned terrorist attacks against the U.S. and Europe
Al-Qaeda has been developing close coordination and partnerships with various other terrorist organizations, enhancing their global threat potential.
Hamza bin Laden, the leader of Al-Qaeda, has established the Islamic Army, an alliance that transcends the traditional Sunni and Shia divide, and includes a myriad of groups such as Hamas, Hezbollah, ISIS, and the Taliban. The Haqqani Network is involved as a senior leadership component within the Taliban, with Sirajuddin Haqqani—a part of this network—having significant influence and receiving substantial funds. The Islamic Army involves complex negotiations and has trained about 120,000 individuals. Recruits are trained under the Islamic Army umbrella, creating a unified identity that obfuscates specific group affiliations such as Al-Qaeda or ISIS when deployed or if detained.
The formation of the Islamic Army has enabled Al-Qaeda to consolidate resources and fighters across different organizations. This conglomerate force supports joint operations, such as Joulani's blitzkrieg, and contributes to Al-Qaeda's grand strategy. The Islamic Army's extensive training prepares recruits to operate under a single banner, bolstering Al-Qaeda's operational capacity significantly.
Hamza bin Laden is an active and hands-on leader who personally oversees and coordinates the activities of the Islamic Army, furthering the vision set by his father, Osama bin Laden. He holds regular meetings and, in a distinct leadership style, has appointed one of his father's former bodyguards, Hamza Alghamdi, as the commander of the Islamic Army. Hamza personally engages in strategic dealings, such as making an agreement with Sana'a Ulughafari of ISIS Khorasan province about ISIS fighters participating in Al-Qaeda-led attacks.
Al-Qaeda's coordination and partnerships with other terrorist groups
Al-Qaeda's activities have been sustained over the years, in part due to the involvement and clandestine support of certain foreign nations. This support has varied from providing safe havens and resources to complex covert operations.
While specific examples of the Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps's (IRGC) direct involvement in facilitating and planning Al-Qaeda attacks are not detailed in the transcript, it is clear that Al-Qaeda has found shelter and strategic partnership with Iran's IRGC. Sarah Adams points out that after the US entered Afghanistan post-9/11, Al-Qaeda operatives fled to Iran and Pakistan, finding safer haven in Iran and establishing close relationships with the government there.
IRGC intelligence officials have been linked to the planning of major terrorist activities, including Hangman attacks, and have formed a deep relationship with Al-Qaeda. Mohammed Kazemi, for instance, a friend of the late IRGC Quds Force leader Qasem Soleimani, played a significant role in keeping key Al-Qaeda figures safe. This partnership was solidified with intelligence sharing and the use of an intelligence base situated in an Al-Qaeda camp in Kandahar, indicating an operational alliance for shared terroristic goals.
The collaboration between IRGC and Al-Qaeda extends to organizing and executing terrorist attacks. Details revealed from the transcript suggest joint operations, with specific references to the involvement of both the Taliban and Hamas in certain attacks. The IRGC and other branches of the Iranian military have had direct communications over Telegram, with planning meetings held in regions such as Kandahar and Kabul. Moreover, the relationship between these organizations is linked to various forms of support, ranging from logistical to financial, with sums as substantial as $145 million a month mentioned.
Furthermore, following Qasem Soleimani's death, Al-Qaeda's distrust of their security under Iran's protection prompted movements of operatives. Al-Qaeda's presence even extends to uranium mines in the south of Afghanistan which are controlled by China, with the IRGC reportedly assisting Al-Qaeda in the dangerous task of potentially using uranium, which evokes the grim threat of dirty bombs.
Involvement and support of foreign nations for al-Qaeda's activities
The U.S. government's counterterrorism initiatives are under heavy scrutiny, revealing serious gaps in the system, ranging from overlooking actionable intelligence to the loss of critical networks in Afghanistan.
Sarah Adams, at the crux of this discussion, criticizes the U.S. for not taking adequate measures based on information from private sources about Al-Qaeda's plotting. Adams and others shared intelligence on ISIS and warnings of potential Al-Qaeda attacks to government organizations, which were met with no response. Significant lapses in oversight were showcased when U.S. counter-terrorism dollars were found to be funding the Taliban's Supreme Leader and U.S humanitarian aid being repurposed to finance Al-Qaeda training camps.
The Pentagon disregarded Adams' collection of information regarding Al-Qaeda's plans to attack U.S. embassies. The U.S. government's reticence was also evident in the case of Hamza bin Laden. Despite international coverage on his survival, the CIA directed U.S. press not to report this fact. British intelligence, frustrated with CIA's suppression, leaked information to counter the American narrative. Adams also exposed that Mohammed Kazemi, despite being a mastermind behind plots against a former U.S. president, is not on the FBI’s most-wanted list. Concerning designations, she noted the U.S.'s slow response in listing key Benghazi attackers on most-wanted lists, contrasting it with actions taken by General Haftar in Libya.
Furthermore, Florida Governor DeSantis did not receive terrorism threat reporting from the federal government, revealing a lack of intelligence-sharing with state governments.
Failures and gaps in the U.S. government's counterterrorism efforts
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