Podcasts > PBD Podcast > Newsom Loves Biden, Trump Wins South Carolina & AT&T Outage Revealed | PBD Podcast | Ep. 370

Newsom Loves Biden, Trump Wins South Carolina & AT&T Outage Revealed | PBD Podcast | Ep. 370

By Patrick Bet-David

Join Patrick Bet-David and his panel of speakers, including Vincent Oshana, Thomas Ellsworth, and Adam Sosnick, in a thought-provoking session of the PBD Podcast. Delve into the contemporary media landscape where CNN faces a daunting struggle with declining ratings and the possibility of a changing ownership structure. As the network grapples with maintaining relevancy in a saturated media market, the hosts discuss whether adopting a fresh political perspective could reignite viewer interest.

In a world where technology and geopolitics intersect, the panel also explores the alarming mobile service outage at AT&T, raising suspicions of a cyber-attack potentially originating from China. Meanwhile, against the backdrop of persistent inflation, the conversation turns to the Federal Reserve's monetary strategies, dissecting the potential impacts of continued interest rate hikes on the economy. Tune in for a compelling blend of insight that strikes at the heart of today's most pressing issues, with special guest, California Governor Gavin Newsom, weighing in on the dialogue.

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Newsom Loves Biden, Trump Wins South Carolina & AT&T Outage Revealed | PBD Podcast | Ep. 370

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Newsom Loves Biden, Trump Wins South Carolina & AT&T Outage Revealed | PBD Podcast | Ep. 370

1-Page Summary

CNN struggling in ratings and trying to sell the company

CNN's challenges have intensified, with Warner Brothers Discovery witnessing a significant drop in stock due to poor TV advertising revenue. The news network's ratings are in decline, averaging just 538,000 primetime viewers, notably behind competitors like Fox News and MSNBC. The network is grappling with layoffs, cost-cutting measures, and struggles to clearly define its image due to perceived bias and the loss of major figures such as Don Lemon.

In response, CNN has been made available for free on Warner's streaming service, Max. CEO David Zaslav, faced with a difficult year at CNN, has been actively seeking to sell the network at the Allen Conference in Sun Valley, Idaho, potentially offering it to buyers at a discount. The network's value, estimated between $1.5 to $2 billion, hinges on its ability to recover viewership and possibly adopt a more centrist political stance.

Commentators like Adam Sosnick suggest CNN's rating issues stem from competition with new media such as podcasts, while Vincent Oshana posits that CNN's success could come from a more pro-Trump direction, especially if Trump were to win an upcoming election. In a curious twist, former CNN host Brian Stelter is reportedly pursuing a position on a New Jersey school board as a Republican.

AT&T Mobile Service Outage Potentially Caused by Cyber Attack from China

AT&T experienced a significant mobile service outage, with speculation that it may have been due to a cyber attack from China. The incident is still being investigated, and while AT&T has not confirmed the nature of the outage, concerns around cybersecurity and infrastructure vulnerability have been brought to the forefront. AT&T is working on service restoration and possibly strengthening security measures. Customers are advised to stay vigilant with their personal data as they await further updates.

Federal Reserve expected to continue raising interest rates to fight inflation

The Federal Reserve is anticipated to persist with interest rate hikes as a response to inflation. Recent data, including the core personal consumption expenditures (PCE) price index showing a month-over-month rise of 0.4%, strengthens the argument for continuing the current monetary policy. There is no indication that the Fed will decrease borrowing costs soon, only planning rate reductions once there is sustainable retreat in inflation.

Market expectations are mixed, with only a 5% chance of a rate cut at the next meeting and a slower pace of rate cuts anticipated by analysts for the year. These enduring inflation levels indicate that the Fed is unlikely to lower rates in the near future, affecting mortgage rates and potentially the housing market. The market's "extreme greed" situation also plays into the Fed's cautious approach to adjusting interest rates.

1-Page Summary

Additional Materials

Clarifications

  • The Allen & Company Sun Valley Conference is an annual gathering of media and technology moguls, business leaders, and influential figures in Sun Valley, Idaho. It is known for being a secretive and exclusive event where major deals and partnerships are often discussed and sometimes finalized. The conference provides a platform for networking, idea exchange, and potential collaborations among industry leaders. It has gained a reputation as a significant event in the business world, attracting high-profile attendees from various sectors.
  • The Core Personal Consumption Expenditures (PCE) Price Index is a measure of inflation that excludes volatile food and energy prices. It is used by the Federal Reserve to gauge underlying inflation trends. The index is derived from personal consumption expenditures, which represent the total spending by individuals on goods and services. The Core PCE Price Index helps policymakers understand inflation's impact on consumer purchasing power.

Counterarguments

  • CNN's struggles in ratings could be attributed to a variety of factors beyond competition with new media and a need for a more centrist or pro-Trump direction, such as changes in consumer behavior, the rise of alternative news sources, and a general decline in cable television viewership.
  • The decision to make CNN content available for free on Warner's streaming service, Max, could be seen as a strategic move to adapt to the changing media landscape rather than a sign of desperation.
  • The potential sale of CNN by CEO David Zaslav might be part of a broader strategic realignment by Warner Brothers Discovery rather than solely a response to poor ratings and financial performance.
  • The suggestion that CNN could improve its ratings by adopting a more pro-Trump stance assumes that the network's audience desires such a shift, which may not align with CNN's brand identity or the diverse political views of its viewership.
  • The reported pursuit of a school board position by former CNN host Brian Stelter as a Republican may not be directly relevant to CNN's current challenges and could be seen as an individual career choice rather than a reflection on the network.
  • The AT&T mobile service outage being potentially caused by a cyber attack from China is speculative until confirmed by the investigation, and other technical or operational issues could be responsible.
  • The Federal Reserve's decision to continue raising interest rates is based on complex economic data and forecasts, and there may be alternative economic theories or models that suggest different approaches to managing inflation.
  • The market's perception of a 5% chance of a rate cut at the next meeting and the anticipated pace of rate cuts could change rapidly in response to new economic data or global events, making predictions about future rate movements uncertain.
  • The impact of the Fed's interest rate policies on the housing market and mortgage rates is multifaceted, and other factors such as supply constraints and demographic trends also play significant roles.
  • The characterization of the market's situation as "extreme greed" is subjective and may not accurately reflect the nuanced motivations and behaviors of market participants.
  • N/A

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Newsom Loves Biden, Trump Wins South Carolina & AT&T Outage Revealed | PBD Podcast | Ep. 370

CNN struggling in ratings and trying to sell the company

CNN's parent company Warner Brothers Discovery is facing hardships, with weak TV advertising leading to a significant drop in stock, while the news network itself struggles with falling ratings and looks toward a potential sale.

CNN, part of the Warner Brothers Discovery conglomerate, is suffering from a sharp decline in TV advertising revenue, resulting in a stock fall of 12 percent. The network is averaging only 538,000 primetime viewers, trailing behind competitors like Fox News and MSNBC. The network's challenges are compounded by layoffs, cost-cutting measures, and the difficulty of clearly defining its image amidst perceptions of a leftist slant and the absence of major talent such as Don Lemon.

Attempting to pivot in the face of these struggles, the company has offered CNN for free on its profitable streaming service, Max, in 2023, despite the service's content purges and layoffs. CEO David Zaslav had a challenging year with CNN, involving significant personnel and budget changes. CNN's ratings are half that of Fox News and other sector leaders.

During the Allen Conference in Sun Valley, Idaho, Zaslav made attempts to sell CNN, even considering "parking" the network with a potential buyer at a discount rate. Despite its challenges, CNN's value is estimated to range between one and a half to two billion dollars, based on the strength of its brand and its positioning—contingent on the network's ability to reclaim viewership through a move toward a more centrist political stance.

Adam Sosnick points out that CNN is lagging behind in ratings compared to F ...

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CNN struggling in ratings and trying to sell the company

Additional Materials

Clarifications

  • The Allen & Company Sun Valley Conference is an annual gathering of media and technology moguls, business leaders, and influencers in Sun Valley, Idaho. It is known for being an exclusive and secretive event where major deals and partnerships are often discussed and sometimes initiated. The conference provides a platform for networking, idea exchange, and potential collaborations among some of the most influential figures in various industries. It is considered a significant event in the business world and often attracts attention for the high-profile attendees and the discussions that take place.
  • "Parking" the network with a potential buyer at a discount rate means temporarily transferring ownership of CNN to a buyer at a reduced price, with the intention of potentially selling it to a different buyer at a higher price in the future. This strategy allows the current owner to offload the network's financial burden and explore options for its future without completely divesting ownership. It's a way to test t ...

Counterarguments

  • CNN's struggles with ratings and advertising revenue could be indicative of broader industry trends affecting all traditional media outlets, not just CNN.
  • The decline in TV advertising revenue might also be a result of shifting consumer behaviors, with more people moving to ad-free or ad-light streaming services, rather than a reflection of CNN's content or management.
  • CNN's decision to offer its content for free on the streaming service Max could be seen as a strategic move to adapt to the changing media landscape and reach a wider audience, rather than a sign of desperation.
  • The challenges faced by CEO David Zaslav and CNN could be part of a necessary restructuring process to better position the network for future success in a rapidly evolving media environment.
  • The estimated value of CNN suggests that, despite current challenges, the brand still holds significant worth and potential for growth or revitalization.
  • The suggestion that CNN's ability to reclaim viewership may depend on moving towards a more centrist political stance is an oversimplification, as viewer preferences are diverse and multifaceted.
  • The rise of alternative news sources like podcasts does not necessarily mean traditional me ...

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Newsom Loves Biden, Trump Wins South Carolina & AT&T Outage Revealed | PBD Podcast | Ep. 370

AT&T Mobile Service Outage Potentially Caused by Cyber Attack from China

AT&T customers recently experienced an unexpected mobile service outage, and while the cause is still under investigation, there's speculation that it may have been the result of a cyber attack originating from China. The telecommunications giant has yet to confirm the exact nature of the incident, but the potential link to a foreign cyber attack has raised concerns about the vulnerability of digital infrastructure and the growing sophistication of cyber threats. As cybersecurity experts look into the matter, AT&T is w ...

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AT&T Mobile Service Outage Potentially Caused by Cyber Attack from China

Additional Materials

Clarifications

...

Counterarguments

  • Speculation about the cyber attack originating from China may be premature without concrete evidence, and attributing the attack to a specific nation could be seen as inflammatory or lead to geopolitical tensions.
  • The mention of cybersecurity experts investigating could imply that there is a definitive cyber attack, which may not be the case until the investigation is complete.
  • While AT&T is working to restore services, the effectiveness and speed of their response are not addressed, which could be a point of criticism if customers feel the restoration efforts are inadequate.
  • The suggestion that AT&T will likely implement further security measures assumes that their current measures were insufficient, which may not be the case if the outage was caused by an unforeseeable event.
  • Advising customers ...

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Newsom Loves Biden, Trump Wins South Carolina & AT&T Outage Revealed | PBD Podcast | Ep. 370

Federal Reserve expected to continue raising interest rates to fight inflation

The Federal Reserve, closely monitoring inflation measures, is anticipated to hold firm on its stance of raising interest rates to combat inflation, with recent data suggesting a move towards another rate hike.

According to the host, the Fed's preferred inflation gauge has indicated the most significant increase in a year, leading to speculation about the implications for interest rate policies. The core personal consumption expenditures (PCE) price index, which excludes volatile food and energy costs, is projected to have a month-over-month increase of 0.4%.

The stance of the Federal Reserve suggests no rush to lower borrowing costs, with plans to reduce them only when it is confident that inflation is retreating sustainably. The expected data is anticipated to support the Fed's current position and could even temper market expectations for an upcoming rate cut.

Market consensus reflects uncertainty, indicating only a 5% chance of a rate cut at the next Federal Reserve meeting, with opinions divided on the likelihood of a rate cut by May 1st. Bloomberg's analysis posits that rate cuts will be slower than previously expected, with only three anticipated throughout the year.

The enduring levels of inflation suggest that the Federal Reserve will not be reducing interest rates soon, an action that will have ramifications on mortgage rates and the potential to affect the housing market. Additionally, the market conditions described as "extreme greed" add further concern for the Federal Reserve, likely influencing its cautious decisions regarding interest rates.

Hollywood residents grow frustrated with local leaders over homeless problem

Residents of Hollywood are growing increasingly dissatisfied with their local leaders due to the ongoing homeless challenges they face. Safety concerns, sanitation issues, fires in encampments, human waste on sidewalks, and open-air drug use fuel their frustration. Particular disappointment is directed toward Mayor Karen Bass and Council Member Nithya Ramon. Alexa Scarpillos from LAPD's Community Police Advisory Board endorses Ethan Weaver for City Council, reflecting the community's wish for new leadership. Jeannie Griffin, a resident who regrets voting for Ramon, echoes this sentiment, hoping Weaver wins the upcoming election.

Despite advocating for long-term solutions to homelessness, Council Member Ramon encounters criticism due to a reported 9% rise in homelessness in LA County. The increase in encampments has intensified the frustration among residents with leaders like Bass and Ramon.

Google's Gemini has had a rough week

Google's AI model, Gemini, had a tumultuous week filled with controversies and technical blunders. Notably, Gemini failed to offer appropriate responses to sensitive queries, drawing substantial criticism. The AI did not adequately respond when comparing Elon Musk to Hitler and faltered in recognizing a white man in search results. The AI was also condemned for not clearly denouncing pedophilia, leading to an outcry over perceived sympathy towards abusers.

In response, Google labeled the AI's answer as appalling and inappropriate and announced updates to Gemini, addressing the issue by affirming that pedo ...

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Federal Reserve expected to continue raising interest rates to fight inflation

Additional Materials

Clarifications

  • The Core Personal Consumption Expenditures (PCE) Price Index is a measure of inflation that excludes volatile food and energy prices. It is an important indicator used by the Federal Reserve to assess changes in consumer prices. The Core PCE Price Index provides a more stable view of inflation trends compared to the overall PCE Price Index. It helps policymakers make decisions on monetary policy, particularly regarding interest rates.
  • The LAPD's Community Police Advisory Board is a group that works to enhance communication between the Los Angeles Police Department (LAPD) and the community it serves. This board typically consists of community members who provide input and feedback on policing matters, helping to bridge the gap between law enforcement and the public. They often focus on issues such as community relations, crime prevention, and public safety initiatives within their respective neighborhoods. The board's goal is to foster trust, transparency, and collaboration between the police department and the local community.
  • Gemini AI, developed by Google, faced criticism for its responses to sensitive queries, including fail ...

Counterarguments

  • The Federal Reserve's strategy of raising interest rates to combat inflation could potentially slow economic growth and lead to higher unemployment rates.
  • There is a possibility that the core PCE price index's month-over-month increase does not fully capture the broader economic picture and could be influenced by temporary factors.
  • Some economists argue that the Fed's approach to reducing borrowing costs only when inflation retreats sustainably might be too rigid and could miss opportunities for more nuanced policy adjustments.
  • The market consensus of a 5% chance of a rate cut might not accurately reflect the complexity of economic conditions and the range of factors the Fed considers in its decision-making.
  • Bloomberg's analysis of anticipated rate cuts could be overly conservative or optimistic, depending on unforeseen economic developments throughout the year.
  • The characterization of market conditions as "extreme greed" is subjective and may not fully account for the diverse motivations and strategies of market participants.
  • The frustration of Hollywood residents with local leaders over homelessness might not fully acknowledge the complexity of the issue and the limitations of what local government can achieve in the short term.
  • Endorsing a new candidate for City Council, such as Ethan Weaver, does not guarantee a quick resolution to the homelessness challenges, which are systemic and multifaceted.
  • Criticism of Council Member Nithya Ramon for the rise in homelessness may not consider external factors beyond her control or the efforts she has made to address the issue.
  • The controversies surrounding Google's AI model, Gemini, could be seen as part of the learning and development process inherent in AI technology, which often involves trial and ...

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