Podcasts > NerdWallet's Smart Money Podcast > Nerdy Deep Dives: Investing, Part 3

Nerdy Deep Dives: Investing, Part 3

By NerdWallet Personal Finance

Dive into the world of investing with NerdWallet's Smart Money Podcast, where your trusted guides, Sean Pyles and Alana Benson, explore the contrasting approaches to growing your wealth. In this installment of their Nerdy Deep Dives series, the focus is on the merits of the buy and hold strategy. Favored by investors for its long-term success and advocated by heavyweights like Warren Buffett, the concept is simple: ride out the market's fluctuations by investing in stocks or index funds for years, maybe decades, and reap the rewards from their growth over time.

Shift gears and you'll find the high-stakes game of day trading juxtaposed against this steadfast strategy. The podcast sheds light on the stark reality presented by the Securities and Exchange Commission: that day trading is fraught with peril and seldom lucrative. On the other side of the spectrum, cryptocurrency's allure is investigated. Despite its potential for high returns, volatility looms large. Alana Benson advises caution, suggesting that, while cryptocurrencies should not be the cornerstone of a long-term investment portfolio, they might have a place as a small, diverse component for certain risk-tolerant investors. Pyles and Benson deliver insights that every investor, novice or seasoned, should consider before making their next financial move.

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Nerdy Deep Dives: Investing, Part 3

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Nerdy Deep Dives: Investing, Part 3

1-Page Summary

Buy and hold investing

Buy and hold investing is acknowledged as a dependable strategy for long-term wealth accumulation. Investors commit to stocks or index funds for years or decades, aiming to tolerate short-term market volatility. Master investor Warren Buffett backs this strategy, suggesting that looking at the long-term potential of investments is key. It has proven effective for growth over time, especially when coupled with tax-advantaged accounts like IRAs. Although average returns hover around 10% annually before adjusting for inflation, risks still exist, and returns aren't guaranteed.

Day trading

Day trading is extensively recognized as a high-risk, low-reward activity according to the Securities and Exchange Commission. Only about 1% of day traders consistently make money, highlighting the immense challenge of timing the market for profits. Most amateur investors tend to lose money, making day trading an unfavorable strategy when compared to buy and hold investing.

Cryptocurrency

Cryptocurrency has emerged as an asset class that offers high potential rewards but is equally risky due to its volatility. The primary cryptocurrency, Bitcoin, has experienced significant price swings. Timing the market with cryptocurrencies is highly speculative and often results in substantial losses. While Benson cautions against hefty investments in cryptocurrencies, especially for long-term strategies, diversifying with small amounts may be a viable option for some investors. Despite the surge in interest around digital currencies, it's critical for investors to understand the risks involved.

1-Page Summary

Additional Materials

Clarifications

  • Tax-advantaged accounts like IRAs (Individual Retirement Accounts) are investment accounts that offer tax benefits to help individuals save for retirement. Contributions to traditional IRAs are often tax-deductible, meaning you can reduce your taxable income in the year you contribute. In contrast, Roth IRAs allow for tax-free withdrawals in retirement, as contributions are made with after-tax dollars. These accounts provide incentives and advantages to encourage long-term savings and investment growth for retirement.
  • The U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) is a government agency established to regulate and oversee the securities industry, aiming to protect investors, maintain fair markets, and facilitate capital formation. It enforces various laws and regulations to prevent market manipulation and ensure transparency in financial activities. The SEC requires public companies to submit regular reports, including financial statements and disclosures, to provide investors with essential information for making informed decisions. Through resources like the EDGAR database, investors can access and review these filings to stay informed about companies and market activities.
  • Cryptocurrency volatility refers to the rapid and unpredictable price fluctuations seen in the cryptocurrency market. This volatility can lead to significant price swings in a short period, making it challenging to predict the value of cryptocurrencies accurately. Factors such as market demand, regulatory developments, and investor sentiment can all contribute to the volatility of cryptocurrencies. Investors should be aware of this volatility when considering investing in cryptocurrencies, as it can result in both substantial gains and losses.
  • Benson advises caution when investing in cryptocurrencies, emphasizing their high volatility and speculative nature. He suggests avoiding heavy investments in cryptocurrencies for long-term strategies. Diversifying with small amounts of cryptocurrency may be a more suitable approach for some investors. Understanding the risks associated with digital currencies is crucial before considering any investment in this asset class.

Counterarguments

  • While buy and hold investing is generally seen as dependable, it may not be suitable for everyone, especially those who may need liquidity or have a shorter investment horizon.
  • The 10% average annual return for buy and hold investing is an average and may not reflect future performance; past performance is not indicative of future results.
  • Tax-advantaged accounts like IRAs have contribution limits and withdrawal restrictions that may not align with every investor's financial goals or situation.
  • Warren Buffett's endorsement of buy and hold investing reflects his personal investment philosophy and may not be appropriate for all investors, particularly those with different risk tolerances or financial objectives.
  • Day trading, while high-risk, can be rewarding for a small percentage of skilled traders who have the time, capital, and temperament to succeed in such a fast-paced environment.
  • Some investors may find success with day trading by using sophisticated algorithms, quantitative analysis, or by focusing on specific niches within the market.
  • Cryptocurrency's volatility can offer opportunities for significant gains, and some investors may be willing to accept the higher risk for the potential of higher returns.
  • Diversification into cryptocurrencies, even in small amounts, may not be suitable for all investors, particularly those with a low risk tolerance or lack of understanding of the asset class.
  • The surge in interest around digital currencies reflects a broader trend towards innovation in financial technology, which may lead to new investment opportunities and strategies that could be beneficial for certain investors.
  • The risks associated with cryptocurrency investments may be mitigated through the use of hedging strategies, proper risk management, and a thorough understanding of the underlying technology and market dynamics.

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Nerdy Deep Dives: Investing, Part 3

Buy and hold investing

A reliable long-term strategy for building wealth

Buy and hold investing is a straightforward and effective approach for those aiming to build wealth over time. This method of investing encourages patience and steadiness in the face of market turbulence.

Invest in stocks or funds and hold them for years or decades

Investors who adopt the buy and hold strategy select stocks or index funds and commit to them for years or even decades. This long-term investment plan is recognized as one of the most reliable ways to amass wealth over time.

Ride out short-term market volatility

By maintaining their investment position over extended periods, individuals can withstand the inevitable short-term fluctuations of the market. This strategy is endorsed by renowned investors like Warren Buffett, who advises focusing on the potential of companies or funds to thrive in the long term without being swayed by minor market downturns.

Historically an effective way to grow money over time

The buy and hold approach is generally considered a safer route for investors with long-term objectives. Whether through a standard brokerage account, an IRA, or a robo advisor, the key principle is to stay invested without selling during market slumps, trustin ...

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Buy and hold investing

Additional Materials

Clarifications

  • An index fund is a type of investment fund that aims to replicate the performance of a specific market index, like the S&P 500. It is designed to provide investors with broad market exposure at a low cost. Index funds are passively managed, meaning they do not involve active stock selection by a fund manager. Investors can buy shares in an index fund to gain diversified exposure to a particular market or sector.
  • An Individual Retirement Account (IRA) is a type of retirement savings account in the United States that offers tax advantages for individuals saving for retirement. There are different types of IRAs, such as Traditional IRAs and Roth IRAs, each with its own tax treatment and withdrawal rules. Contributions to a Traditional IRA are often tax-deductible, while contributions to a Roth IRA are made with after-tax income. Withdrawals from a Traditional IRA are typically taxed as income in retirement, whereas qualified withdrawals from a Roth IRA are tax-free.
  • Robo advisors are automated financial advisors that provide online investment management services with minimal human intervention. They use algorithms to offer personalized investment advice based on factors like risk tolerance and financial goals. Robo advisors are known for their cost-effectiveness compared to traditional human financial advisors. The ...

Counterarguments

  • Buy and hold investing assumes markets will always go up in the long term, which may not be true for all markets or individual stocks.
  • This strategy may not be suitable for those who need liquidity or may require access to their funds before the long-term horizon.
  • It may not account for significant changes in the economy or individual companies that could negatively impact long-term performance.
  • The 10% average annual return is historical and may not be indicative of future performance, especially in changing economic climates.
  • Buy and hold does not take advantage of short-term investment opportunities that could potentially yield higher returns.
  • It requires a high level of discipline and emotional control, which not all investors possess.
  • Tax benefits associated with accounts like IRAs are subject to change based on legislation, which could affect the strategy's effectiveness.
  • Diversification is key, a ...

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Day trading

Day trading, the practice of buying and selling financial instruments within the same trading day, is a high-risk strategy that offers low rewards, especially for novice traders. It requires making calculated decisions to time the market with the hope of profiting from short-term trades—a task that is notoriously difficult even for seasoned experts.

High risk, low reward

Attempts to time the market and profit from short-term trades

Investors, particularly beginners, face significant risk when engaging in day trading. The Securities and Exchange Commission generally advises against this practice for the average person due to the complexities and high risks involved. Trying to accurately predict the market's movements is nearly impossible, and those who attempt to do so often find that their strategies do not result in a consistent profit.

Only 1% of day traders consistently earn money

According to a study by Brad Barber at the University of California, Davis, only a small fraction of day traders—about 1%—manage to consistently earn money from their trades. This statistic underscores the challenges that day tr ...

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Day trading

Additional Materials

Clarifications

  • Day trading involves rapid buying and selling of financial instruments within the same trading day. The complexities arise from the need to predict short-term market movements accurately. High risks stem from the volatile nature of short-term trading, where sudden price fluctuations can lead to significant losses. Novice traders often struggle with these complexities and risks, making day trading a challenging and risky endeavor.
  • Day traders face challenges such as the difficulty in accurately predicting market movements, the high risks involved in short-term trading, and the low success rate in consistently earning profits. These challenges make day trading a risky and complex endeavor, especially for novice traders who may lack experience and resources. The pressure to make quick decisions and the emotional toll of financial losses can also impact day traders' mental well-being. Overall, the competitive nature of the market and the need for continuous learning and adaptation add to the challenges faced by day traders.
  • The buy-and-hold strategy involves purchasing investments and holding onto them for an extended period, regardless of short-term market fluctuations. This approach is based on the belief that over time, the market tends to increase in value, leading to long-term gains. Investors using this strategy typically focus on the fundamentals of the investments rather than short-term price movements. Buy-and-hold is often associated with a more passive investment style, contrasting with the active trading involved in day trading.
  • The Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) generally advises against day trading for the average person due to its complexities and high risks. Day trading involves making quick decisions to buy and sell financial instruments within the same trading day, which can be challenging and risky. The SEC warns that attempting to time the market accurately, a key aspect of day trading, is extremely difficult and often leads to losses for inexperienced traders. Overall, the SEC's stance reflects concerns about the potential financial harm day trading can pose to individual investors.
  • Day trading is a challenging practice where traders buy and sell financial instruments with ...

Counterarguments

  • While day trading is high-risk, it can offer high rewards for those who are skilled and well-informed.
  • Some traders may have a talent for timing the market and can make successful trades more consistently than the average person.
  • The SEC's advice against day trading may not apply to everyone, as some individuals may have the resources, knowledge, and risk tolerance to succeed.
  • The statistic that only about 1% of day traders consistently earn money might not reflect the potential for traders who are dedicated to educating themselves and improving their strategies.
  • Success in day trading is not common, but it is not impossible, and there are successful day traders who make a living from it.
  • Day trading can be appealing for those who seek active involvement in the markets and who enjoy the challenge it presents.
  • Day trading strategies, when executed well, can sometimes outperform buy ...

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Nerdy Deep Dives: Investing, Part 3

Cryptocurrency

Cryptocurrency, a relatively new asset class in the financial world, has caught the attention of investors globally due to its capacity to yield high rewards but also because it carries significant risks.

High risk, potential high reward

Cryptocurrency is characterized by its volatility, experiencing extreme highs and lows in market value. This volatility is demonstrated by the massive ranges in value witnessed specifically with Bitcoin over its relatively short existence.

Volatile with extreme highs and lows

The attempt to time the market can be particularly dangerous with cryptocurrencies. Due to their unpredictable nature, investors might end up selling at inopportune times, which could result in substantial losses.

Risky for most long-term investment strategies

Benson points out that investing significant sums in cryptocurrency is high-risk and advises against most investors putting all their money into it. Pyles adds to this sentiment by indicating that for those focusing on long-term investment strategies, traditional retirement savings accounts like a 401k or an IRA are likely more stable and beneficial compared to primarily investing in cryptocurrency ...

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Cryptocurrency

Additional Materials

Clarifications

  • Cryptocurrency volatility refers to the rapid and unpredictable changes in the market value of cryptocurrencies like Bitcoin. This volatility can lead to significant price fluctuations, with prices experiencing extreme highs and lows within short periods. Investors may find it challenging to predict these price movements accurately, making it risky to time the market effectively. Understanding and managing the risks associated with cryptocurrency volatility is crucial for investors looking to navigate this asset class successfully.
  • Timing the market with cryptocurrencies involves trying to predict the best moments to buy or sell based on price movements. Cryptocurrency markets are highly volatile, making it challenging to accurately forecast when prices will rise or fall. Attempting to time the market can be risky as sudden price fluctuations can lead to significant gains or losses for investors. It's important to note that successful market timing in the cryptocurrency space is notoriously difficult due to the unpredictable nature of these assets.
  • A 401(k) and an IRA are retirement savings accounts commonly used in the United States. A 401(k) is typically offered by employers, allowing employees to contribute a portion of their salary to a tax-advantaged investment account for retirement. An IRA (Individual Retirement Account) is a personal retirement account that individuals can open independently to save for retirement, offering various tax advantages depending on the type of IRA. Both accounts are designed to help individuals save and invest for their retirement years.
  • Meme stocks like GameStop and AMC are stocks that have gained significant attention and trading activity on social media platforms like Reddit. Retail investors, often organized in online communities, have collectively driven up the prices of these stocks, sometimes in a speculative manner. This phen ...

Counterarguments

  • Cryptocurrency may not be as new as suggested, as Bitcoin, the first cryptocurrency, was created in 2009, and the asset class has been around for over a decade.
  • While cryptocurrency is risky, some argue that its underlying technology, blockchain, has intrinsic value that could stabilize over time as the technology matures and gains wider adoption.
  • The volatility of cryptocurrency can be seen as an opportunity for educated traders who understand market dynamics and have risk management strategies in place.
  • Some investors believe that Bitcoin and other cryptocurrencies have established themselves enough to be considered for a diversified investment portfolio, not just small amounts.
  • There are investment strategies within the cryptocurrency space, such as holding (or "HODLing"), that some investors believe can be effective for long-term growth despite the asset's volatility.
  • Cryptocurrencies offer certain advantages over traditional financial systems, such as decentralization, potential resistance to inflation, and ease of transfer across borders, which can be appealing to some investors.
  • Diversification is a key principle in investing, and some financial experts may recommend a small allocation to cryptocurrencies as part of a diversified investment strategy, not just as a cautionary measure.
  • The comparison of cryptocurrency to meme stocks may not be entirely fair, as cryptocurrenci ...

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