Podcasts > Morning Wire > The Hidden Costs of Harris' Economic Proposals | Saturday Extra

The Hidden Costs of Harris' Economic Proposals | Saturday Extra

By The Daily Wire

In this Morning Wire episode, the focus is on Vice President Kamala Harris's economic proposals and their potential downsides according to analysis. Central topics include the inefficacy of measures like small business tax deductions and homebuyer credits for improving affordability, concerns over taxing unrealized capital gains hampering investment, and acknowledging inflation's role in eroding household finances.

The discussion touches on steps for combating inflation, such as restoring rules-based monetary and fiscal policy approaches, and critiques policies seen as constraining domestic energy production. It also notes businesses scaling back environmental, social, and governance initiatives amid economic pressures, though such changes may be temporary.

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The Hidden Costs of Harris' Economic Proposals | Saturday Extra

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The Hidden Costs of Harris' Economic Proposals | Saturday Extra

1-Page Summary

Analysis of Kamala Harris's economic proposals and their projected effects

According to analysis by the Penn Wharton budget model, Vice President Kamala Harris's economic proposals - including price controls, homebuyer subsidies, and taxing unrealized capital gains - could lead to reduced GDP, economic activity, and lower wages.

Small business and homebuyer measures ineffective

While Harris proposes a $50,000 tax deduction for small business startup costs, critics view it as a "gimmick" and inadequate compared to planned corporate tax hikes.

Thomas Savage explains that Harris's $25,000 down payment credit for first-time homebuyers likely won't improve affordability - instead driving up prices by increasing demand without addressing housing supply constraints.

Proposed tax on unrealized gains impacts investment

Savage raises concerns that Harris's proposal to tax unrealized capital gains would create barriers to investment crucial for economic growth and job creation. Even if legally challenged, its enforcement risk could deter private investment.

Inflation's impact on household finances

The discussion highlights inflation acting as a regressive tax, eroding real wages for low-income Americans. Rising household debt, like record credit card delinquencies, shows inflation's strain on family finances.

Voters currently favor Trump over Harris on economic management, reflecting a political liability on the issue of inflation for the current administration.

Restoring rules-based monetary and fiscal policy

To combat inflation, emphasis is placed on restoring rules-based monetary policy approaches and constraining government spending - actions that would require credible commitments from political candidates.

The administration's regulations and ESG priorities are criticized for constraining domestic energy production and contributing to rising gas prices.

Businesses scaling back ESG initiatives

With economic pressures, businesses are dialing down their environmental, social, and governance (ESG) initiatives, reprioritizing profit-driving activities.

However, Savage indicates this ESG decline may only be temporary until economic conditions improve and companies regain financial flexibility for such programs.

1-Page Summary

Additional Materials

Counterarguments

  • The $50,000 tax deduction for small businesses could stimulate entrepreneurship by offsetting some of the initial costs, which might be particularly beneficial for underrepresented groups.
  • The $25,000 down payment credit could make homeownership more accessible for first-time buyers, potentially leading to long-term wealth accumulation for families that would otherwise be unable to afford a home.
  • Taxing unrealized capital gains could be seen as a way to ensure that the wealthy pay their fair share of taxes, as they often have significant income from investments rather than just wages.
  • Inflation can sometimes be a sign of a growing economy, and moderate inflation is a normal part of economic cycles.
  • The preference for Trump over Harris on economic management could be influenced by a variety of factors, not solely the effectiveness of economic policies.
  • Rules-based monetary policy might not be flexible enough to respond to unexpected economic challenges.
  • Regulations and ESG priorities could lead to long-term benefits, including sustainability and potential job creation in new industries, which might offset short-term costs.
  • ESG initiatives can be a driver for innovation and long-term profitability, and businesses may continue to pursue these goals in alignment with consumer preferences and investor expectations.

Actionables

  • You can evaluate your personal investment strategy to mitigate the impact of potential taxes on unrealized capital gains by focusing on long-term holdings that benefit from lower tax rates. By holding investments for over a year, you can take advantage of long-term capital gains tax rates, which are typically lower than short-term rates. This approach encourages a more patient investment strategy that can be less affected by changes in tax policy.
  • To safeguard your finances against inflation, consider diversifying your income streams. This could involve starting a side business, investing in income-generating assets like dividend-paying stocks or rental properties, or acquiring new skills that could lead to higher-paying job opportunities. Diversification can provide a buffer against inflation by not relying solely on a fixed wage that might not keep pace with rising costs.
  • If you're considering homeownership, research the market thoroughly to understand the implications of first-time homebuyer incentives on housing prices. Before deciding to purchase, analyze local housing supply trends, projected interest rates, and the potential long-term effects of market stimulants like down payment credits. This can help you make an informed decision about when and where to buy, potentially avoiding overpriced markets that could lead to financial strain.

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The Hidden Costs of Harris' Economic Proposals | Saturday Extra

Analysis of Kamala Harris's economic proposals and their projected effects

Vice President Kamala Harris has put forward various economic proposals intended to address specific issues but economic analysis suggests that her plans may come with significant downsides.

Harris's policy plans would likely lead to lower GDP, reduced economic activity, and wage reductions, according to economic analysis.

An analysis conducted by the Penn Wharton budget model has examined Harris's proposals, and findings indicate a potential negative impact on the U.S. economy. Key components of her economic strategy, including implementing price controls, instituting new homebuyer subsidies, and introducing taxes on unrealized capital gains, could collectively lead to lower gross domestic product (GDP), a reduction in economic activity, and subsequent wage reductions.

Harris's proposed $50,000 tax deduction for small business startup costs is more of a "gimmick" than a meaningful savings.

In addition to these measures, Harris has proposed a $50,000 tax deduction for small business startup costs as a way to spur entrepreneurship and economic growth. However, this particular measure is seen ...

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Analysis of Kamala Harris's economic proposals and their projected effects

Additional Materials

Counterarguments

  • The Penn Wharton budget model's analysis might not capture the long-term benefits of Harris's proposals, such as increased economic equality or stability.
  • Price controls, if implemented correctly, could potentially reduce costs for consumers and prevent monopolistic pricing.
  • New homebuyer subsidies could stimulate the housing market and provide opportunities for homeownership to those who are currently priced out, with potential long-term economic benefits.
  • Taxes on unrealized capital gains could encourage the reinvestment of funds into the economy rather than holding onto assets for tax advantages.
  • The $50,000 tax deduction for small business startup costs could provide significant relief to entrepreneurs in the early stages of business development, where financial barriers are often most prohibitive.
  • The criticism of the tax deduction as a "gimmick" may overlook the potential positive psychological impact on small business creation and the encouragement it provide ...

Actionables

  • You can analyze your personal or business finances to identify areas where you might be affected by economic policy changes. For instance, if you're a small business owner, review your business plan to see how new taxes or subsidies might impact your operations. If you're an employee, consider how wage changes could affect your income and adjust your budget accordingly.
  • Develop a habit of critical thinking when it comes to financial incentives like tax deductions. Before making decisions based on these incentives, calculate the long-term benefits versus the added complexity they might introduce. For example, if you're considering starting a business, run the numbers to see if a $50,000 tax deduction actually provides you with a net benefit after considering potential tax increases elsewhere.
  • Educate yourself on economic princ ...

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The Hidden Costs of Harris' Economic Proposals | Saturday Extra

Impact of Harris's proposals on small businesses, homebuyers, and investors

Thomas Savage provides insights into Harris's proposal for a $25,000 down payment credit for first-time homebuyers and a policy of taxing unrealized capital gains, examining their potential effects on the housing market, investment, and the economy.

Harris's plan to offer a $25,000 down payment credit for first-time homebuyers is unlikely to make housing more affordable.

Savage explains that while tax dollars could assist with a down payment, this measure on its own will not make housing more accessible or affordable. Instead, by increasing demand without addressing the housing supply constraints like zoning and property tax reforms, the policy is likely to drive up home prices even further. Savage stresses that meaningful reforms are necessary at various levels of government to improve housing affordability.

Taxing unrealized capital gains would create barriers to investment and deter private investment, which is crucial for business growth and job creation.

Savage raises concerns that a policy taxing unrealized capital gains, although initially promised to target only the wealthiest, could extend to impact ...

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Impact of Harris's proposals on small businesses, homebuyers, and investors

Additional Materials

Clarifications

  • Zoning reforms involve changes to regulations that dictate how land can be used, affecting aspects like the type of buildings allowed in certain areas. Property tax reforms typically involve adjustments to how property taxes are calculated and collected, aiming to make the system fairer or more efficient. These reforms can impact housing affordability by influencing the supply of housing and the costs associated with property ownership.
  • Taxing unrealized capital gains involves taxing the increase in the value of an asset that has not been sold. Constitutional challenges may arise because such a tax could be seen as a direct tax on property, which the ...

Counterarguments

  • The $25,000 down payment credit could potentially increase homeownership rates among those who are on the cusp of affording a home but lack sufficient funds for a down payment.
  • By providing a down payment credit, the government could stimulate the economy through increased spending in the housing market and related sectors.
  • The policy could be designed with mechanisms to prevent excessive price inflation, such as targeting areas with surplus housing or coupling with supply-side measures.
  • Taxing unrealized capital gains might encourage a more equitable tax system where wealthier individuals pay a fairer share relative to their accumulated wealth.
  • The policy could include thresholds or exemptions to ensure it does not burden middle-class investors or retirement funds.
  • Unrealized capi ...

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The state of the economy, including inflation and its effects on households

The economy is under scrutiny as households across the United States grapple with the effects of inflation, which is placing a substantial burden on low-income Americans.

Inflation is acting as a regressive tax, hitting low-income Americans the hardest by eroding their purchasing power.

Inflation has emerged as a regressive tax, disproportionately affecting those at the lower end of the income spectrum by diminishing their ability to afford goods and services. The reduction in real wages, coupled with ascending levels of household debt, underscores the adverse consequences of inflation on family finances.

Declining real wages and increasing household debt, including record credit card delinquencies, demonstrate the detrimental impact of inflation on household finances.

Households are facing a financial squeeze as their wages fail to keep pace with escalating prices, effectively slashing their earnings in real terms. Additionally, there is a worrying rise in household debt, marked by unprecedented levels of credit card delinquencies, signaling that many are struggling to manage their finances amidst an inflati ...

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The state of the economy, including inflation and its effects on households

Additional Materials

Counterarguments

  • Inflation may not solely act as a regressive tax; some argue that progressive taxation and social safety nets can mitigate its impact on low-income individuals.
  • The causes of inflation can be multifaceted and not entirely within the control of any single administration, including global supply chain issues or external economic shocks.
  • Declining real wages could be influenced by factors other than inflation, such as changes in labor market dynamics or technological advancements that affect job availability and wage levels.
  • Increasing household debt and credit card delinquencies might also stem from factors beyond inflation, like healthcare costs, educational expenses, or personal financial management choices.
  • The trust in former President Trump over Vice President Harris regarding economic management could be influenced by partisan preferences or perceptions that are not necessarily tied to actual ec ...

Actionables

  • You can track your expenses and identify non-essential items to cut back on, helping to mitigate the impact of inflation on your household budget. Start by reviewing your bank statements for the past three months to pinpoint where your money is going. Look for recurring subscriptions or services that you don't use often and consider canceling them. For example, if you have multiple streaming services, choose one that you use the most and cancel the others.
  • Create a shopping list based on sales and discounts to stretch your purchasing power. Before you go grocery shopping, check store flyers, apps, or websites for deals on items you need. Plan your meals around these discounted items and buy in bulk when it makes sense. For instance, if chicken breast is on sale, plan a few meals that incorporate it and freeze any excess for later ...

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The role of monetary and fiscal policy in addressing economic challenges

With inflation on the rise, there is a growing emphasis on the importance of restoring a rules-based monetary policy and reining in government spending.

Restoring rules-based monetary policy and constraining government spending are crucial to combat inflation.

In light of contemporary economic challenges, particularly inflation, there is a call for a return to a rules-based approach to monetary policy and for the constraint of excessive government expenditure. Such strategic shifts are believed to be central to controlling inflation and stabilizing the economy.

Credible commitments to these policy approaches from political candidates would be essential to providing a path forward.

For these economic strategies to be effective, credible commitments from political candidates to uphold these policy approaches are critical. Such commitments would provide a clear path forward and could inspire confidence in the populace and the markets about the direction of economic policy.

The current administration's heavy-handed regulations and ESG priorities have contributed to rising gas prices by constraining domestic energy production.

The discussion ...

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The role of monetary and fiscal policy in addressing economic challenges

Additional Materials

Counterarguments

  • Rules-based monetary policy may not be flexible enough to respond to unexpected economic shocks or changes in the global economic landscape.
  • Constraining government spending during economic downturns can potentially exacerbate recessions by reducing aggregate demand.
  • Credible commitments from political candidates do not guarantee effective economic strategies, as unforeseen events and political pressures can lead to policy shifts.
  • Heavy-handed regulations are sometimes necessary to address market failures and protect the environment, which can have long-term economic benefits that outweigh short-term cost increases.
  • ESG priorities may lead to a more sustainable economy in the long run and can drive in ...

Actionables

  • Educate yourself on monetary policy by reading a beginner's guide to economics, which will help you understand the impact of government spending and inflation on your personal finances.
  • By gaining a basic understanding of economic principles, you can make more informed decisions about your investments, savings, and spending habits. For example, if you learn that inflation is likely to increase, you might decide to invest in assets that historically outperform during inflationary periods, such as real estate or commodities.
  • Evaluate political candidates based on their economic policies and track records, not just their charisma or party affiliation.
  • Before voting, research the economic platforms of candidates and their past actions related to fiscal responsibility. Create a simple scorecard for each candidate based on criteria important to you, such as their stance on government spending and monetary policy. This will help you vote for candidates whose commitments align with your understanding of effective economic strategies.
  • Support local initiatives that promote energy independence, such as community solar projects or local en ...

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The potential decline of ESG initiatives in businesses

The conversation underscores that amidst pressing economic challenges, businesses are dialing down on their commitments to environmental, social, and governance (ESG) initiatives as they turn their focus toward core activities that directly contribute to profitability.

With economic concerns taking priority, businesses are scaling back on ESG initiatives that do not contribute to profitability or achieve stated social goals.

Companies are reconsidering and often curtailing their ESG efforts due to a lack of evidence that these initiatives are meeting their social objectives or yielding financial returns. Consequently, businesses and investors are starting to view them as non-essential expenditures.

However, the decline of ESG may be temporary, as such initiatives could resurface in the future when economic ...

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The potential decline of ESG initiatives in businesses

Additional Materials

Clarifications

  • ESG initiatives, which stand for environmental, social, and governance initiatives, are actions taken by companies to address sustainability and ethical concerns in their operations. These initiatives involve integrating criteria related to environmental impact, social responsibility, and corporate governance into business strategies and decision-making processes. ESG initiatives are increasingly important for companies looking to demonstrate their commitment to sustainability, responsible business practices, and long-term value creation for stakeholders.
  • Core activities that directly contribute to profitability typically refer to the primary functions or operations of a business that generate revenue and drive its financial success. These activities are essential for the company's bottom line and are directly linked to its ability to make a profit. Examples include sales of products or services, cost management, marketing efforts, and strategic investments that have a clear impact on the financial performance of the organization. Focusing on these core activities is crucial for sustaining and growing a business in a competitive market environment.
  • ESG initiatives are programs implemented by companies to address environmental, social, and governance issues. Assessing the impact of these initiatives on social objectives and financial returns involves measuring how effectively they contribute to sustainability goals and profitability. Companies may struggle to provide concrete evidence of the direct correlation between their ESG efforts and achieving specific social objectives or generating financial gains. This lack of clear data can lead to uncertainty abo ...

Counterarguments

  • ESG initiatives may actually contribute to long-term profitability by mitigating risks, attracting customers, and improving operational efficiencies.
  • There is evidence that ESG initiatives can meet social objectives and provide financial returns, but these benefits may not be immediately apparent and could require a longer-term perspective.
  • Viewing ESG initiatives as non-essential fails to recognize the potential regulatory, reputational, and strategic risks that ignoring such initiatives can pose.
  • The decline of ESG initiatives could have negative implications for stakeholder trust and corporate reputation, which can, in turn, impact financial performance.
  • ESG initiatives might be more resilient than suggested, as stakeholder expectations and consumer preferences continue to shift towards sustainability and social responsibility, even in challenging economic times.
  • The assumption that ESG initiatives will resurface with improved ec ...

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