Podcasts > Money Rehab with Nicole Lapin > Should You Invest in Commodities? Here’s the Tea (and the Oil and the Gold…)

Should You Invest in Commodities? Here’s the Tea (and the Oil and the Gold…)

By Money News Network

In this episode of Money Rehab with Nicole Lapin, the host unpacks the world of commodities investing and examines the differences between hard commodities like precious metals and energy resources versus soft commodities such as agricultural products. Taking a closer look at the commodity market, the episode covers the role of gold as a so-called "safe haven" asset and explains how its value often rises during economic downturns.

The episode also explores more volatile commodities like oil, whose prices are impacted by factors such as geopolitical tensions, fluctuating supply and demand, and the value of the U.S. dollar. As the discussion demonstrates, investing directly in commodity companies requires extensive industry knowledge, while funds and ETFs offer a more accessible option for gaining exposure to the commodities market.

Should You Invest in Commodities? Here’s the Tea (and the Oil and the Gold…)

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Should You Invest in Commodities? Here’s the Tea (and the Oil and the Gold…)

1-Page Summary

Chime: Fee-Free Banking with Benefits

Many are turning to Chime's fee-free checking account, which charges no maintenance fees and offers fee-free overdrafts up to $200. Chime's fee avoidance helps customers budget better, according to the summary, and those who set up direct deposit can receive paychecks up to 2 days early. This combination allows Chime members to accomplish financial goals with greater ease.

Commodities Overview

Two Types: "Hard" (Extracted) and "Soft" (Grown)

Commodities are defined as tangible, easily exchangeable goods. There are two main categories: soft commodities like agricultural products that must be grown, and hard commodities like metals and energy resources that require extraction from the earth.

Portfolio Diversification Beyond Stocks and Bonds

The summary states that investing in commodities provides portfolio diversification beyond just stocks and bonds, since commodities often behave differently than traditional assets. Certain commodities like gold and oil are cyclical and volatile.

Investing in Gold

"Safe Haven" Asset With 7.8% Average Annual Return

Investors often seek refuge in gold during economic turmoil, viewing it as a "safe haven" asset. Since the U.S. left the gold standard in 1971, gold has yielded around 7.8% annually on average.

The summary notes gold can hedge against inflation, with its value often rising when costs increase. Its performance is predictable - thriving in downturns but stagnating during growth periods when other investments may outperform.

Investing in Volatile Commodities Like Oil

Prices Impacted by Geopolitics, Supply/Demand, Dollar Value

Oil prices are highly volatile due to factors like geopolitical tensions, supply and demand dynamics, and the value of the U.S. dollar impacting global pricing, the summary explains.

A strong dollar makes oil costlier for foreign buyers using other currencies, while a weaker dollar effectively discounts oil, potentially boosting consumption.

Direct Investments Require Industry Knowledge; ETFs Offer Exposure

While investing directly in commodity companies provides exposure to price movements, it requires deep understanding of complex industries, per the summary. Commodity funds and ETFs provide a simpler way to invest in volatile assets like oil without physical possession.

1-Page Summary

Additional Materials

Clarifications

  • Chime's fee-free banking model means customers do not have to pay certain charges typically associated with traditional banks, such as maintenance fees and overdraft fees. By eliminating these fees, Chime aims to help customers manage their finances more effectively and avoid unexpected costs, ultimately assisting them in budgeting their money more efficiently. This fee avoidance feature can contribute to a more transparent and predictable banking experience for Chime users, allowing them to better plan and allocate their funds without worrying about additional charges.
  • Commodities are raw materials or primary agricultural products that can be bought and sold, such as gold, oil, wheat, or copper. They are standardized and interchangeable with other goods of the same type, making them easily tradable on exchanges. Commodities are essential for various industries and are often used as inputs in the production of goods and services. Trading in commodities can provide investors with opportunities to diversify their portfolios and potentially benefit from price fluctuations in these essential goods.
  • Gold is considered a hedge against inflation because its value tends to increase when the general price levels of goods and services rise. Investors often turn to gold during times of inflation as it is seen as a store of value that can retain purchasing power. This is due to the perception that gold's intrinsic worth remains relatively stable even as fiat currencies may depreciate in value during inflationary periods. Gold's historical track record of maintaining value over time, especially during economic uncertainties, contributes to its reputation as an inflation hedge.
  • Oil prices are impacted by the value of the U.S. dollar due to the fact that oil is traded globally in U.S. dollars. When the value of the dollar strengthens, it takes more dollars to buy the same amount of oil, potentially leading to higher oil prices. Conversely, a weaker dollar can make oil cheaper for buyers using other currencies, potentially increasing demand and affecting oil prices accordingly.
  • Direct investments in commodity companies involve purchasing shares of specific companies involved in producing or dealing with commodities like oil or gold. Understanding the commodity industry, including factors like production costs, market demand, and geopolitical influences, is crucial for making informed investment decisions. This type of investment requires knowledge of how commodity prices fluctuate and how company performance can be affected by various external factors. Investors need to stay informed about industry trends and developments to effectively navigate the complexities of investing in commodity companies.

Counterarguments

  • While Chime offers fee-free overdrafts, relying on overdrafts can still be a sign of poor financial management and may not be sustainable in the long term.
  • Receiving paychecks up to 2 days early can be beneficial, but it may also lead to mismanagement of funds if not budgeted properly.
  • Commodities can provide diversification, but they also come with their own set of risks and may not be suitable for all investors.
  • The categorization of commodities into "soft" and "hard" is simplistic and doesn't capture the full complexity of the commodities market.
  • Gold's status as a "safe haven" asset is not guaranteed, and its value can also decrease during economic turmoil.
  • The average annual return of gold since 1971 may not be indicative of future performance, especially in different economic conditions.
  • Hedging against inflation with gold might not always be effective, as the relationship between gold prices and inflation can vary.
  • Oil's price volatility can lead to significant losses, and geopolitical events can be unpredictable, making it a risky investment.
  • A strong or weak dollar's impact on oil prices can be offset by other factors, such as changes in global oil production or shifts in energy policy.
  • Investing in commodity ETFs may offer exposure without physical possession, but it also introduces additional risks and fees associated with the funds themselves.

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Should You Invest in Commodities? Here’s the Tea (and the Oil and the Gold…)

The Benefits of a Fee-free Checking Account

Many are discovering the advantage of fee-free checking accounts, which are changing the way people manage their finances.

Chime Account: No Maintenance Fees, Fee-free Overdrafts Up to $200

Chime is at the forefront of this financial shift, providing customers with a checking account that has no maintenance fees and offers a fee-free overdraft up to $200.

Chime's Fee-free Banking Helps You Budget and Make Financial Progress

The absence of maintenance and overdraft fees with Chime helps customers budget better and make significant strides in their financial journey. By eliminating the worry of hidden costs and penalties, users can manage their money more effectively.

Chime Enables 2-Day Early Pay With Direct Deposit

Another notable benefit of a Chime checking account is the opportunity to receive paychecks up to two days early when you set up direct deposit.

Fee Avoidance and Early ...

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The Benefits of a Fee-free Checking Account

Additional Materials

Counterarguments

  • Fee-free overdrafts may encourage some users to overspend or become too reliant on overdrafts, potentially leading to poor financial habits.
  • While Chime does not charge maintenance or overdraft fees, there may be other fees or limitations that are not highlighted, such as out-of-network ATM fees or cash deposit fees.
  • Receiving paychecks up to two days early can be beneficial, but it may also disrupt budgeting cycles if not managed properly, as it could lead to a false sense of increased cash flow.
  • The benefits of Chime's fee-free structure might be less advantageous for customers who already maintain minimum balances and do not incur overdrafts with traditional banks, as they may not face these fees anyway.
  • Some traditional banks offer additional services and benefits that may not be available through Chime, such as in-person customer service, a wider ATM network, or more diverse financial products.
  • The claim that Chime helps customers budget better is subjec ...

Actionables

  • You can automate your savings by setting up a direct transfer to a savings account on payday. Since you can get your paycheck early, arrange for a portion of it to go straight into savings, which can help you resist the temptation to spend it and ensure you're consistently building your emergency fund or saving for specific goals.
  • Create a no-fee challenge for yourself where you track every instance you would have incurred a fee with traditional banking and instead put that money into a separate savings account. This visual representation of savings can be a powerful motivator and help you understand the impact of fee-free banking on your finances over ...

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Should You Invest in Commodities? Here’s the Tea (and the Oil and the Gold…)

An Overview of Commodities as an Asset Class

Commodities, often defined by their tangible nature and the ease with which they can be exchanged, provide opportunities for investors to expand and diversify their portfolios beyond stocks and bonds.

Commodities Are Tangible, Easily Exchanged Goods

Commodities can be physically touched and are readily exchangeable for cash or other commodities.

Commodities: "Hard" (Extracted) and "Soft" (Grown/Harvested) Varieties

There are two main categories of commodities: hard and soft. Soft commodities are agricultural products or livestock that must be grown and harvested, such as soybeans, cotton, cattle, and eggs. On the other hand, hard commodities include natural resources that must be extracted from the earth, including metals like palladium, silver, platinum, and gold, as well as energy resources such as crude oil and natural gas.

Commodities Provide Portfolio Diversification Beyond Stocks and Bonds

Investing in commodities is a well-established method for diversifying an investor's portfolio. By adding commodities to their investments, individuals can reduce risk as these assets often behave differently than traditional stocks and bonds.

Gold and Oil Pric ...

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An Overview of Commodities as an Asset Class

Additional Materials

Clarifications

  • Commodities as an asset class are tangible goods like agricultural products, metals, and energy resources that can be traded on financial markets. They provide investors with a way to diversify their portfolios beyond traditional investments like stocks and bonds. Commodities can be categorized into "hard" (extracted) and "soft" (grown/harvested) varieties, offering different risk and return profiles. Investing in commodities can help spread risk and potentially enhance returns by adding a different type of asset to an investment portfolio.
  • Hard commodities are natural resources that need to be extracted from the earth, such as metals like gold and silver, as well as energy resources like crude oil and natural gas. Soft commodities, on the other hand, are agricultural products or livestock that are grown and harvested, including items like soybeans, cotton, cattle, and eggs. The distinction lies in the way these commodities are sourced and produced, with hard commodities coming from mining or drilling processes, while soft commodities are typically cultivated through agricultural practices. This categorization helps investors understand the different dynamics and factors that can influence the prices and market behaviors of these two types of commodities.
  • Soft commodities are agricultural products or livestock that are grown or harvested. Examples of soft commodities include soybeans, cotton, cattle, and eggs. These items are typically produced through farming or animal husbandry and are essential components of the global food and textile industries. Soft commodities are traded in commodity markets alongside hard commodities like metals and energy resources.
  • Hard commodities are natural resources that are extracted from the earth. Examples include metals like gold, silver, platinum, and palladium, as well as energy resources such as crude oil and natural gas. These commodities are physically mined or drilled from the ground and play a crucial role in various industries and economies worldwide.
  • Investing in commodities can provide portfolio diversification by offering assets that often move independently from traditional stocks and bonds. This independence can help reduce overall portfolio risk as commodities may perform differently during various economic conditions. Diversification through commodities can enhance the stability of a portfolio by adding assets that have unique market behaviors compared to equities and fixed-income securities. By including commodities, investors can po ...

Counterarguments

  • Commodities can be illiquid and may not always be easily exchanged for cash, especially in times of market stress or for commodities that have less active markets.
  • The categorization of commodities into just hard and soft oversimplifies the asset class, as there are also other ways to categorize commodities, such as by their use in the industry or their role in the economy.
  • While soft commodities do include agricultural products, this category also encompasses other items not mentioned, such as coffee, sugar, and cocoa.
  • The list of hard commodities is not exhaustive and excludes other important commodities like copper, uranium, and various rare earth elements.
  • Diversification benefits of commodities can be overstated, as they can sometimes exhibit correlation with stocks and bonds, particularly during global economic crises when many asset classes can fall in value simultaneously.
  • Adding commodities to a portfolio may not always reduce risk, especially considering the inherent volatility and other risks associated with commodities trading, such as geopolitical risk, weather-related disruptions, and regulatory changes.
  • Gold's status as a safe haven is not absolute; its price ...

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Should You Invest in Commodities? Here’s the Tea (and the Oil and the Gold…)

Investing In Gold

In the financial world, gold holds a unique position as an investment option.

Gold: A "Safe Haven" in Economic Uncertainty

Investors often seek solace in gold, especially during tumultuous economic conditions.

Gold's Average Annual Return Since Us Left Gold Standard: 7.8%

Since the United States abandoned the gold standard in 1971, gold has yielded an average annual return of approximately 7.8%.

Gold Can Serve As a Hedge Against Inflation

Gold is widely regarded as a hedge against inflation because its value often increases when the cost of living does.

Gold Thrive ...

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Investing In Gold

Additional Materials

Clarifications

  • The gold standard was a monetary system where a country's currency was directly linked to gold, ensuring its value was tied to a specific amount of gold. In 1971, the United States ended the gold standard, known as the "Nixon Shock," due to economic pressures and the need for more flexibility in monetary policy. This move allowed the U.S. dollar to float freely in value against other currencies, leading to significant changes in global financial systems and currency exchange rates. The abandonment of the gold standard marked a pivotal moment in economic history, impacting how currencies were valued and traded worldwide.
  • Gold is considered a hedge against inflation because its value tends to increase when the general price levels rise. This means that during times of inflation, when the purchasing power of currency decreases, the value of gold may rise, helping investors preserve their wealth. Investors often turn to gold as a way to protect their assets from the eroding effects of inflation, as gold historically has maintained its value over the long term in the face of rising prices.
  • Gold is often seen as a hedge against inflation because its value tends to rise when the general cost of living increases. This relationship exists because gold is considered a store of value and is not tied to the performance of currencies or economies. When inflation erodes the purchasing power of currency, investors may turn to gold as a way to protect t ...

Counterarguments

  • Gold does not always act as a safe haven; its price can be volatile and influenced by factors other than economic uncertainty.
  • The average annual return of gold since 1971 may not account for periods of underperformance or losses when adjusted for inflation.
  • Gold does not generate income, such as dividends or interest, which can be a disadvantage compared to other investments.
  • The hedge against inflation is not guaranteed; there are periods when gold has not kept up with inflation.
  • Gold's performance in downturns is not always predictable; other assets like government bonds may sometimes perform better in such conditions.
  • Opportunity cost is a factor; investing in gold during growth periods may result in missed gains from other assets like ...

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Should You Invest in Commodities? Here’s the Tea (and the Oil and the Gold…)

Investing In Oil and Other Volatile Commodities

Investors eyeing commodities such as oil must navigate a landscape rocked by geopolitical tensions, fluctuating supply and demand, and shifts in value of the US dollar which significantly impact global oil prices.

Oil Prices Volatile Amid Geopolitical Tensions and Supply/Demand Dynamics

Oil as a commodity is marked by high volatility, with price variations driven by geopolitical strife, supply and demand imbalances, and continuous evolution in the field of energy technology.

Us Dollar's Value Impacts Global Oil Prices

The value of the US dollar plays a pivotal role in setting oil prices internationally. A strong US dollar makes purchasing oil pricier for buyers using other currencies, possibly causing them to limit their oil use. Conversely, a weaker US dollar effectively discounts the price of oil for foreign buyers, which may boost their consumption levels. The robustness of the US economy can influence the value of the dollar, similar to how the standing of a carnival affects its ticket sales.

Commodity Company Investments Are Risky Due to Industry Complexities

Investing directly in commodity-focused ...

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Investing In Oil and Other Volatile Commodities

Additional Materials

Clarifications

  • The value of the US dollar affects global oil prices because oil is traded in US dollars worldwide. A stronger dollar makes oil more expensive for buyers using other currencies. Conversely, a weaker dollar makes oil cheaper for foreign buyers, potentially increasing demand. fluctuations in the dollar's value can impact the affordability and consumption of oil on the global market.
  • The value of the US dollar is influenced by various factors, including the strength of the US economy. A robust economy typically leads to a stronger dollar as it attracts foreign investment and indicates stability. Conversely, a weaker economy may result in a depreciating dollar as investors seek safer assets elsewhere. This relationship between the US economy and the value of the dollar impacts international trade, investments, and the purchasing power of consumers globally.
  • Investing in commodity companies can be complex due to factors like commodity price volatility, regulatory challenges, operational risks, and global market dynamics. Understanding these complexities requires knowledge of the specific commodity market, company financials, supply chain intricacies, and ge ...

Counterarguments

  • While geopolitical tensions often impact oil prices, other factors such as technological advancements in energy production and changes in consumer behavior towards renewable energy can also play significant roles in determining oil prices.
  • Supply and demand dynamics are crucial, but the text does not account for the potential impact of strategic reserves releases or energy policy decisions by governments that can also influence oil prices.
  • The relationship between the US dollar value and global oil prices is not always straightforward; there are periods when this correlation is weaker due to other overriding economic factors.
  • A strong US dollar might make oil pricier for buyers using other currencies, but it does not always lead to reduced consumption, as there may be other mitigating factors like subsidies or economic growth in those countries.
  • A weak US dollar might discount oil prices for foreign buyers, but this does not necessarily lead to increased consumption if there are concerns about economic downturns or efforts to transition to alternative energy sources.
  • The US economy is a significant factor in the value of the dollar, but global economic conditions, monetary policies of other central banks, and international trade dynamics also play critical roles.
  • Investing in commodity companies is risky, but not all commodity sectors exhibit the same level of ri ...

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