Podcasts > Modern Wisdom > #868 - Mads Larsen - The Hidden Truth About Our Collapsing Birth Rates

#868 - Mads Larsen - The Hidden Truth About Our Collapsing Birth Rates

By Chris Williamson

On the Modern Wisdom podcast, Mads Larsen explores the controversial yet timely topic of "involuntary single women" and declining birth rates in Western nations like Norway. He proposes that cultural shifts around female empowerment, contraception, and individualism, combined with an evolutionary mismatch in modern mating dynamics, contribute to why many women struggle to find suitable long-term partners despite greater freedoms.

Rather than placing blame, Larsen urges thoughtful discourse into the existential threat of declining birth rates. He calls for experimental cultural approaches targeting the evolved motivations influencing fertility while preserving female liberties. With objective analysis, Larsen considers new ways to rekindle biological drives toward reproduction amidst societal changes in dating norms.

#868 - Mads Larsen - The Hidden Truth About Our Collapsing Birth Rates

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#868 - Mads Larsen - The Hidden Truth About Our Collapsing Birth Rates

1-Page Summary

The Backlash Against "Involuntary Single Women"

Mads Larsen, who coined the term "involuntary single women," faced accusations of misogyny when theorizing that a dysfunctional modern dating market contributes to declining fertility rates (1.4 children per woman in Norway). Larsen argues the discourse should focus on this existential threat, rather than place blame.

The Evolutionary Mismatch in Modern Mating

Mads Larsen explains that with individual partner choice replacing arranged marriages, women's promiscuous attraction system (seeking genetically desirable mates) conflicts with their pair-bonding system (seeking invested partners of equal status). As Williamson describes, high-status women now struggle to find equal or higher-status partners due to male underperformance.

Without economic dependence and strict social pressures, Larsen suggests women's innate biological motivations to reproduce weaken. This marginalization has made it difficult for many women to find suitable long-term partners.

Cultural Shifts Driving Declining Birth Rates

Larsen links declining birth rates to societal shifts like female empowerment, contraception, and individualism. Whereas societies once imposed norms motivating marriage and children, having kids is now voluntary. With improved conditions, the biological attraction driving reproduction has weakened, as "life is too good."

Reconceiving Approaches to Boost Fertility

As financial incentives alone are ineffective, Larsen urges Scandinavian countries to experiment with new cultural approaches targeting the changed mating dynamics and norms influencing fertility, while maintaining women's freedom. He suggests a baseline agreement preserving female liberties while exploring adapted dating methods resonant with each community's legacy.

1-Page Summary

Additional Materials

Clarifications

  • The term "involuntary single women" describes women who desire a romantic partner but are unable to find a suitable long-term relationship. These women may face challenges in the modern dating landscape that hinder their ability to form lasting connections. The concept highlights the societal and cultural factors that contribute to women being single against their wishes. It underscores the complexities and struggles faced by women who seek committed relationships but encounter obstacles in finding compatible partners.
  • The conflict between women's promiscuous attraction system and pair-bonding system arises from the tension between seeking genetically desirable mates for reproduction and seeking emotionally invested partners for long-term commitment. In modern mating, this conflict can lead to challenges in finding partners who fulfill both criteria simultaneously. This clash is influenced by societal changes that have altered traditional mating dynamics and expectations. The evolution of individual choice in relationships has complicated the balance between these two systems.
  • In the context of male underperformance affecting high-status women's partner choices, it suggests that societal changes have led to a situation where women who hold high status or achievements may struggle to find male partners who match or exceed their status. This can create challenges in forming relationships where both partners feel equal or where traditional gender roles are not clearly defined. The concept highlights how shifts in societal dynamics, such as changes in gender roles and expectations, can impact the dynamics of modern relationships and influence partner selection criteria.
  • Economic independence and reduced social pressures have shifted women's reproductive motivations by diminishing traditional incentives tied to financial security and societal expectations, leading to a decline in the urgency to have children. This change has altered the dynamics of partner selection and the prioritization of family-building, impacting fertility rates in modern societies.
  • Societal shifts like female empowerment and widespread access to contraception have given women more control over their reproductive choices. This increased autonomy has led to a decline in birth rates as women are choosing to have fewer children or delay starting a family. The ability to make decisions about when and if to have children has shifted traditional norms around marriage and family, impacting overall fertility rates in many societies.
  • Improved conditions, such as better healthcare, economic stability, and overall quality of life, can lead individuals to prioritize other aspects of their lives over reproduction. When basic needs are met and life is comfortable, the urgency to have children for survival diminishes. This shift in priorities is influenced by the fact that in modern societies, having children is more of a choice than a necessity. As a result, the biological drive for reproduction may weaken in environments where individuals feel secure and fulfilled in other areas of life.
  • The call for new cultural approaches to boost fertility rates stems from the observation that traditional norms and practices around marriage and childbearing have shifted due to factors like increased female empowerment and changing societal values. These changes have led to declining birth rates in many societies. To address this issue, there is a recognition that innovative cultural strategies are needed to adapt to the evolving dynamics of relationships and reproduction, while still respecting individual freedoms and choices. The aim is to find ways to encourage and support family formation in a modern context where traditional incentives may no longer be as effective.

Counterarguments

  • The term "involuntary single women" may oversimplify complex social dynamics and individual choices.
  • Blaming a dysfunctional dating market for declining fertility rates ignores other significant factors such as economic conditions and personal choice.
  • Focusing solely on fertility rates as an existential threat may overlook the benefits of a stable or declining population, such as reduced environmental impact and improved quality of life.
  • The idea that women have a "promiscuous attraction system" is a controversial and potentially offensive characterization that may not accurately reflect the diversity of women's preferences and behaviors.
  • The concept of male underperformance is a broad generalization that may not account for the varied reasons behind the perceived lack of suitable partners for high-status women.
  • Economic independence and reduced social pressures as reasons for weakened biological motivations to reproduce may not consider the positive aspects of these changes, such as increased personal fulfillment and societal progress.
  • Linking declining birth rates solely to female empowerment, contraception, and individualism could be seen as a negative view of these societal advancements.
  • The notion that life being "too good" weakens the drive to reproduce could be challenged by arguing that individuals may choose to have fewer children due to a desire to provide a higher quality of life for their offspring.
  • The effectiveness of financial incentives in boosting fertility rates can vary greatly depending on the specific design and implementation of the incentives.
  • The suggestion that Scandinavian countries should experiment with new cultural approaches may not take into account the potential resistance to changing deeply ingrained cultural norms and values.
  • The idea of a baseline agreement to preserve female liberties while exploring adapted dating methods may be seen as paternalistic or as an attempt to control personal choices.
  • The recommendation to ensure new approaches resonate with each community's legacy may not consider the need for progressive change in some communities where traditional norms are restrictive or discriminatory.

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#868 - Mads Larsen - The Hidden Truth About Our Collapsing Birth Rates

The concept of "involuntary single women" and the societal backlash to discussing this issue

The introduction of the concept "involuntary single women" has sparked significant debate and accusations of misogyny, which Mads Larsen, the co-author of the theory, struggles to navigate in the current cultural climate.

The idea of "involuntary single women" sparked outrage and accusations of misogyny.

Mads and a colleague conceptualized and theorized the idea of "involuntary single women" in an article, which led to a public backlash against discussing this issue.

Mads Larsen and Leif Kinnear theorized the idea of "involuntary single women," leading to public unrest. Accusations flew, labeling the discussion as misogynistic, and igniting a cultural storm. Mads argues that the discourse should focus on the critical issue of declining fertility rates, which, in Norway, have sunk to 1.4 children per woman, drastically below the replacement rate. He asserts that this is an existential threat, underscoring the societal implications tied to these numbers.

The underlying concern is that the dysfunctional dating market is a key contributor to declining fertility.

Mads Larsen expresses that his aim was to not blame women for the low fertility rates but to delve into the reasons behind the increasingly difficult dating environment. He argues that a dysfunction in the modern mating market, informed by evolutionary psychology, contributes to the decline in fertility. With Norwegian women desiring an average of 2.4 children but only having 1.4, there seems to be a gap between fertility ideals and reality. This issue could supposedly propel Norway toward a generational decline or even societal collapse if the trend persists.

Larsen's department has distanced themselves from him and the contentious debate has occupied public discourse. However, a member of the birth rate committee has acknowl ...

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The concept of "involuntary single women" and the societal backlash to discussing this issue

Additional Materials

Counterarguments

  • The concept of "involuntary single women" may oversimplify complex social dynamics and individual choices.
  • Accusations of misogyny may arise from concerns that the theory could perpetuate harmful stereotypes or assign blame to women for broader societal issues.
  • Declining fertility rates can be attributed to a multitude of factors beyond the dating market, such as economic conditions, career aspirations, access to childcare, and personal choice.
  • The idea that the dating market is dysfunctional may not account for the evolving nature of relationships and the diversification of what is considered a "suitable" partner.
  • The focus on fertility rates as an existential threat might overlook the potential benefits of a smaller, more sustainable population in the context of global resource constraints.
  • The gap between the desired and actual number of children could reflect changing values and priorities among women, rather than a failure of the dating market.
  • The debate around fertility rates could benefit f ...

Actionables

  • You can start a personal journal to reflect on your own experiences with dating and fertility desires, noting any discrepancies between your aspirations and reality. This self-reflection can help you understand your own position within the broader societal trends discussed. For example, if you've always wanted a certain number of children, compare that desire with your current lifestyle and dating practices to see if they align, and consider what changes might be necessary to reconcile the two.
  • Engage in conversations with friends or family about their experiences and perceptions regarding fertility and dating, without bringing up the controversial aspects of the debate. This can provide a more nuanced understanding of the issue at a personal level. For instance, ask them about their ideal family size and discuss the factors they believe influence their ability to achieve that goal, such as career, education, or the availability of partners.
  • Volunteer with organizations that s ...

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#868 - Mads Larsen - The Hidden Truth About Our Collapsing Birth Rates

The evolutionary psychology of modern mating dynamics and their impact on fertility

In a detailed exploration of modern mating dynamics, Mads Larsen and Williamson address how the shift to individual partner choice has impacted fertility through changes in women's attraction systems and societal norms.

The shift to individual partner choice, rather than arranged marriages, has led to a mismatch between women's promiscuous and pair-bonding attraction systems.

Mads Larsen explains that throughout human evolution, women have developed two competing attraction systems. The earlier promiscuous system prioritizes mating with the most genetically desirable men, while the pair-bonding system, which evolved later, seeks a partner of similar value and equity, demands paternal investment, and leads to a bonded couple. Although humans are capable of both systems, they have not become a purely pair-bonding species and must reconcile these different preferences to enable functional mating. With the rise of individual partner choice, replacing systems like arranged marriages, the promiscuous system has become more dominant. This has contributed to a stratification in which the most desirable men receive the majority of mating opportunities.

Williamson discusses how this phenomenon plays out in what she calls the "tall girl problem," where successful women at the top of their status hierarchy struggle to find partners of higher or equal status. As women’s socioeconomic success increases, there is a corresponding decline in male educational attainment and socioeconomic status. This creates a challenging dynamic where women's long-term standards for partners rise, but the pool of men meeting these standards shrinks.

Moreover, Williamson notes that unlike historically underperforming groups that society has supported through targeted efforts, such as the educational attainment of women, little focus has been placed on raising the standard of men to meet the increased expectations of today's women.

This dynamic has made it increasingly difficult for many women to find suitable long-term partners.

As women become less socioeconomically dependent on men and society moves away from patriarchal stan ...

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The evolutionary psychology of modern mating dynamics and their impact on fertility

Additional Materials

Clarifications

  • Women have evolved with two primary attraction systems: a promiscuous system that prioritizes mating with genetically desirable partners and a pair-bonding system that seeks emotional connection and stability. These systems can sometimes conflict in modern mating dynamics, especially with the shift towards individual partner choice. The promiscuous system may become more dominant in environments where arranged marriages are less common, leading to challenges in mate selection and relationship dynamics. Understanding these competing systems can shed light on how women navigate their romantic and reproductive choices in contemporary society.
  • The "tall girl problem" describes the challenge successful women face in finding partners of equal or higher status as their own. As women's status and success rise, the pool of men who match their criteria diminishes, leading to difficulties in finding suitable long-term partners. This phenomenon highlights a shift in traditional gender dynamics and societal expectations, impacting modern mating dynamics and fertility considerations. The term underscores the complexities that arise when societal norms and individual aspirations intersect in the context of mate selection and relationship dynamics.
  • As women achieve higher levels of success and socioeconomic status, there can be a shift in traditional gender dynamics. This shift may lead to challenges in finding partners of similar or higher status for successful women. In some cases, this can result in a decline in male educational attainment and socioeconomic status relative to their female counterparts. This phenomenon is influenced by various factors, including changes in societal norms, economic opportunities, and evolving expectations in relationships.
  • In the context of modern mating dynamics, the lack of focus on raising men's standards to meet women's expectations means that societal efforts have historically prioritized supporting and empowering women in various aspects, such as education and career opportunities, while not placing equivalent emphasis on helping men adapt to changing relationship dynamics and expectations. This imbalance can lead to challenges for men in meeting the evolving criteria set by women for potential partners, contributing to difficulties in forming successful long-term relationships. Addressing this disparity involves considering how societal norms and support systems can be more inclusive and supportive of men in adapting to the changing landscape of modern relationships.
  • As women become less dependent on men, their reproductive choices may shift due to increased autonomy and freedom in decision-making. This shift can impact traditional family structures and dynamics, potentially altering the motivations and timing for starting a family. Changes in economic independence and social norms can influence how women perceive the need for reproduction and the role of a partner in the process.
  • The marginalization of a significant portion of men in relationships can be understood as a consequence of shifting societal dynamics, where traditional gender roles and expectations are evolving. This shift can lead to challenges for men who may struggle to meet the changing standards and expectations set by women in the modern dating landscape. As women gain more independence and opportunities, some men may find it difficult to establish meaningful and lasting connections due to disparities in socioeconomic status, education, or other factors. This can result in a sense of exclusion or marginalization for these men in both long-term relatio ...

Counterarguments

  • The dominance of the promiscuous attraction system may not be universal and could vary widely depending on cultural, social, and individual factors.
  • The concept of a "tall girl problem" may oversimplify the complexities of partner selection and ignore the diversity of preferences among both men and women.
  • The decline in male educational attainment and socioeconomic status may not be solely or directly related to women's success but could be influenced by a variety of economic and educational policy issues.
  • The idea that women's standards for partners are rising could be a reflection of changing societal values rather than a biological or evolutionary shift.
  • The notion that women are becoming less socioeconomically dependent on men does not account for the persistent wage gap and economic inequalities that still affect many women.
  • The assertion that biological attraction is fading might overlook the continued desire for family and children that many individuals, regardless of gender, still express.
  • The marginalization of a significant portion of men in the mating market could be a result of broader social and economic trends rather than just the changing standards of women.
  • The call for society ...

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#868 - Mads Larsen - The Hidden Truth About Our Collapsing Birth Rates

The societal and policy changes that have contributed to the declining birth rates

The issue of declining birth rates is linked to broader societal and policy changes that have shifted cultural norms around reproduction, Mads Larsen explains.

The rise of individualism, female empowerment, and contraception have fundamentally changed the cultural norms and incentives surrounding reproduction.

Larsen's discussion reflects a significant societal transformation. Traditionally, societies imposed strong social pressures and norms to motivate people to marry and have children. However, the liberation of women and the availability of effective contraception mean that having children has become a voluntary choice.

Historically, societies imposed strong social pressures and norms that motivated people to bond and have children.

Larsen mentions the cultural changes over the last thousand years, suggesting an exploration of modernity's emergence. He points out the widening gaps in university attendance and economic success between men and women due to policies aimed at raising the status of women, such as Title IX, and questions where the effort to help underperforming men is.

With the social and economic liberation of women, and availability of effective contraception, having children has become a much more voluntary choice.

Larsen discusses the cultural shift to “confluent love,” where relationships continue as long as they provide mutual benefits, often resulting in serial pair bonding. This approach contrasts with the historical ideology that one is complete only with their “other half,” in a bond supported by strong love expected to last a lifetime.

These cultural and environmental shifts have undermined the innate biological drives that previously sustained sufficient reproduction.

Contraception allows the separation of sex and reproduction, undermining biological drives previously leading to childbirth. The cultural evolution where not having children can be voluntary, or even recommended, along with antinatalist beliefs, has decreased societal pressure to reproduce.

Without the same societal pressures and incentives, people's desire to have children is no longer strong enough to overcome the practical challenges and costs of raising a family.

Women have achieved socioeconomic success and egalitaria ...

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The societal and policy changes that have contributed to the declining birth rates

Additional Materials

Clarifications

  • Confluent love is a concept where relationships are based on mutual benefits and can change over time. Serial pair bonding is the practice of forming successive intimate relationships rather than one lifelong partnership. These ideas reflect shifts in modern relationship dynamics away from traditional notions of lifelong monogamous unions.
  • Antinatalist beliefs are ideologies that discourage or oppose procreation, viewing the act of having children as morally wrong or harmful to society or the individuals involved. Advocates of antinatalism often argue that bringing new life into the world leads to suffering, overpopulation, environmental degradation, or perpetuates societal problems. This perspective can influence personal decisions about reproduction and also inform broader discussions on population growth and sustainability.
  • Title IX is a federal civil rights law in the United States that prohibits sex-based discrimination in educational programs receiving federal funding. It was enacted in 1972 as part of the Education Amendments and has been crucial in promoting gender equality in education. The law has had a significant impact on ensuring equal opportunities for both men and women in educational settings.
  • The declining birth rates can lead to societal strain by causing a decrease in the number of children entering the education system, which may result in the closure of schools due to low enrollment. Additionally, a shrinking younger population due to fewer births can lead to job vacancies as there are not enough young people entering the workforce to replace retiring workers. This demographic shift can have economic implications and s ...

Counterarguments

  • The decline in birth rates is not solely due to cultural and policy changes; other factors such as economic uncertainty, high costs of living, and changing career aspirations also play a significant role.
  • Some argue that individualism and female empowerment are not inherently at odds with the desire to have children, but rather that societal support systems, like affordable childcare and parental leave, are inadequate.
  • The assumption that biological drives are undermined by cultural shifts may be an oversimplification, as the desire to have children can be influenced by a complex interplay of personal, cultural, and biological factors.
  • It is possible to view the voluntary choice not to have children as a positive development, reflecting greater personal freedom and the ability to pursue a wider range of life paths.
  • The idea that women's socioeconomic success leads to a decline in birth rates could be challenged by pointing out that in some countries, higher female education and workforce participation correlate with higher birth rates, given the right support systems.
  • The narrative that life being "too good" reduces the biological attraction to men and the drive to reproduc ...

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#868 - Mads Larsen - The Hidden Truth About Our Collapsing Birth Rates

Potential interventions and policy experiments to address the fertility crisis

Larsen voices the urgent need to address the fertility crisis to avert the challenges of an aging population and potential societal disintegration.

Simply providing financial incentives or benefits for having children has not proven effective in boosting fertility rates.

While there are no explicit mentions of the effectiveness of financial incentives in boosting fertility rates in the provided content, the broader conversation acknowledges that simply addressing financial and temporal costs associated with raising children is insufficient. The underlying cultural and psychological factors driving fertility decline require more than monetary policies to shift.

Addressing the fertility crisis will require experimenting with novel approaches that target the fundamental shifts in mating dynamics and cultural norms.

Mads Larsen asserts that Scandinavian countries, recognized for their advancements in gender equality and tradition of national debate, could lead experiments to address the fertility crisis. Their cultural characteristics, such as cohesive populations and vibrant discussions, make them ideal candidates for testing new societal approaches that aim to incentivize and allow for greater fertility without compromising female freedom.

Larsen proposes a baseline "suicide pact" ensuring that female freedoms, as of 2024, can never be threatened while exploring new dating and mating methods that maintain these liberties. Any interventions should avoid heavy-handed approaches but instead should be tailored to each community's cultural legacy.

Reassessing Cultural Adaptations and Expectations

The complexity of shifting cultural and psychological factors driving fertility decline suggests that interventions must move beyond existing financial and temporal considerations. Larsen indicates that merely telling women to lower their standards or men to do better is not a viable solution. Instead, the focus should be on making men more attractive to women and finding communal solutions that resonate with specific cultural legacies.

Larsen's discussion advocates for trial and error in exploring new approaches to mating and dating that consider the evolutionary changes and adapt without threatening female freedoms. He speaks of a need to try different solutions, cautioning against the passivity that stems from resignati ...

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Potential interventions and policy experiments to address the fertility crisis

Additional Materials

Counterarguments

  • Financial incentives might not be effective in isolation but could be part of a comprehensive package of measures that, when combined, could have a positive impact on fertility rates.
  • Cultural and psychological factors are indeed important, but economic stability and confidence in the future can also significantly influence decisions about having children.
  • The assumption that Scandinavian countries are uniquely positioned to lead fertility experiments due to their cultural characteristics could be challenged by pointing out that different societies have successfully implemented policies that improved fertility rates, suggesting that there is no one-size-fits-all solution.
  • The idea of making men more attractive to women could be criticized for potentially reinforcing gender stereotypes or for oversimplifying the complex reasons behind individual mating choices.
  • The concept of a "suicide pact" to ensure female freedoms might be seen as unnecessarily dramatic or could be criticized for implying that female freedoms are at risk when discussing fertility interventions.
  • The focus on novel approaches to mating and dating might overlook the potential benefits of strengthening existing family support systems and social services.
  • The emphasis on trial and error could be criticized for potentially leading to policies that might have unintended negative consequences on individuals and communities.
  • The call for collaboration among researchers, policymaker ...

Actionables

  • You can start a book club focused on literature that explores alternative family structures and societal roles to open up discussions on fertility and cultural norms. By reading and discussing books like "The Giver" by Lois Lowry or "Brave New World" by Aldous Huxley, you can engage with friends or community members in conversations about the implications of different societal structures on fertility and personal choices, thereby contributing to a broader cultural dialogue.
  • Consider volunteering for a mentorship program that pairs you with younger individuals to discuss life planning, including the topic of family planning. Through mentorship, you can share perspectives on the importance of balancing career, personal fulfillment, and family life, which may influence younger generations' views on fertility and help them navigate their own decisions in a way that considers the broader societal impact.
  • Engage in social media campaigns that celebrate diverse fami ...

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